Wickenburg, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Areal Flood Watch View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 57°
  • Light Rain
  • Wind: WSW 8 mph
  • Humidity: 77%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 50°
  • Pressure: 29.74 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
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55°
64°
68°
66°
64°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Sunday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Wickenburg, Arizona

Updated: 8:00 AM MST on February 28, 2015

Flood Watch in effect from 5 PM Sunday to 5 PM MST Monday...
  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 70F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain, then rain showers after midnight. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with rain showers. High of 70F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with rain showers. Low of 52F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers. High of 57F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW in the afternoon.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Areal Flood Watch  Statement as of 3:00 am MST on February 28, 2015


... Flood Watch now in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday
afternoon...

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* portions of east-central Arizona... south-central Arizona and west-
central Arizona... including Globe... Miami... the Tonto National
Forest foothills... the greater Phoenix area... Wickenburg... and Quartzsite.

* From Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon

* the time-frame for heaviest rainfall will begin across southwest
Arizona Sunday morning and will spread through the region Sunday
afternoon and evening... eventually tapering off from west to east
during the day Monday. Rainfall amounts will generally range from
0.75 inches to 1 inch along and north of Interstate 10 and U.S. 60... with
isolated areas closer to 2 inches possible in the mountains north
and east of Phoenix.

* The rainfall and runoff will lead to heightened flows in New
River... skunk creek and Deadmans Wash near anthem... but also Cave
Creek and Camp Creek... Sycamore Creek near Sunflower... and tonto
and Pinal creek that flow into the Tonto Basin near Roosevelt Lake.
Centennial Wash near Wenden could also see elevated flow. Many
other normally dry washes in the watch area will quickly fill with
runoff and may inundate low water and unbridged Road crossings.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood
warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.


Stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts by listening to weather radio
on the public service band. More detailed information is available
from the National Weather Service in Phoenix on the internet at

Weather.Gov/Phoenix






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Easy Street, Wickenburg, AZ

Updated: 6:50 AM MST

Temperature: 52.0 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Smoketree, Wickenburg, AZ

Updated: 6:50 AM MST

Temperature: 47.5 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Yawning Lizard Retreat, Wickenburg, AZ

Updated: 6:50 AM MST

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Morristown AZ US, Morristown, AZ

Updated: 6:15 AM MST

Temperature: 54 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Near Congress Depot, Congress, AZ

Updated: 6:52 AM MST

Temperature: 45.1 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SE at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: 239th Ave and Pinnacle Vista Lane, Wittmann, AZ

Updated: 6:52 AM MST

Temperature: 54.6 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 221st Ave and Patton, Wittmann, AZ

Updated: 6:52 AM MST

Temperature: 56.3 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: SSE at 3.6 mph Pressure: 29.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 223rd Ave and Patton, Wittmann, AZ

Updated: 6:52 AM MST

Temperature: 55.8 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: RAWS BELMONT AZ US, Tonopah, AZ

Updated: 6:01 AM MST

Temperature: 54 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SSW at 5 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: RAWS STANTON AZ US, Yarnell, AZ

Updated: 6:01 AM MST

Temperature: 46 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: South at 9 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Yarnell Proper, Yarnell, AZ

Updated: 6:48 AM MST

Temperature: 41.0 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSE at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 36 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Peeples Valley AZ US, Yarnell, AZ

Updated: 6:11 AM MST

Temperature: 42 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SSW at 12 mph Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
507 am MST Sat Feb 28 2015 


Update...updated aviation and fire weather discussions... 


&& 


Synopsis... 
low pressure will slowly approach the area this weekend...bringing 
moisture into the region along with increasing chances of showers 
Sunday and Monday. Periods of heavy rain are possible at times 
especially Sunday night through Monday afternoon. Cooler 
temperatures will also accompany this storm with below normal 
readings expected Monday through late week. 


&& 


Discussion... 


..a prolonged wet winter weather event is in store for the Desert 
Southwest Sunday through late Monday... 


Early morning water vapor imagery reveals deepening low pressure 
over Oregon with an initial shortwave trough developing over 
portions of Nevada and central California. To the south across 
Arizona and Southern California...the low has started advecting 
somewhat higher precipitable waters  and surface dewpoints into the area...even 
starting to see some showers on radar across central Arizona near 
the middle level moisture gradient. However across the lower deserts 
this morning...there was only a subtle increase in cloud cover. 09z 
temperatures were quite a bit warmer than this time Friday with many 
locations still in the lower 60s. 


A couple of things to address this morning with respect to the 
potential for rainfall across the area this weekend into early next 
week. As has been the case for the last several days...all 
operational models are in agreement that the upstream low will sag 
southward...deepen...and retrograde west of San Diego this weekend. 
This still looks on target however there are once again signals in 
this morning's 00z guidance to suggest precipitation will be slow to arrive 
across the area...especially in the Phoenix metropolitan. 


Conceptually...much of today will be spent moistening the boundary 
layer as the low is still several hundred miles away and has yet to 
tap into the deeper/more substantial subtropical moisture source 
south of Baja California California. In all likelihood there will be scattered 
showers to the north and east of Phoenix with a few isolated showers 
across the metropolitan...but that's about it. This idea is supported by 
all operational 18z and 00z deterministic models and is also within 
the window of the latest /07z and 08z/ hrrr runs. Made some downward 
adjustments to the probability of precipitation for today especially across the lower 
deserts along with some upward adjustments to temperatures. Not 
going to remove the mention of precipitation altogether for the Phoenix 
area as there could easily be 20-30 percent coverage across the 
metropolitan. But for the most part today looks to be more dry than wet. 


By this evening the low will be located west of Los Angeles but 
still too far north to tap into the aforementioned subtropical 
moisture plume near the Baja California spur. The models are now suggesting the 
best chance of precipitation across southeast California and far SW Arizona 
won't occur until during the day on Sunday...about 6-12 hours slower 
than previously indicated. Following that trend...precipitation isn't 
expected to move into the Phoenix area until much later as well 
/Sunday afternoon or evening/. Thus I made some adjustments to the 
probability of precipitation/quantitative precipitation forecast and Flood Watch timing for this event to better match the 
00z deterministic and probabilistic guidance. I'm not removing probability of precipitation 
altogether for the Phoenix area Sunday but drastically trimming 
values and highlighting Sunday evening through middle-day Monday as the 
prime-time for showers across the area. Probability of precipitation during this Sunday 
evening-Monday time period still look good in the 80-100 percent 
range as this is when the upper low finally gets a kick from another 
upstream trough. Also noted a somewhat concerning reduction in 
ensemble quantitative precipitation forecast this morning with the highest members indicating around 
1 inch of precipitation in the Phoenix area...with a mean more in the 
0.5-0.75 inch realm. Perhaps this is a result of the more 
progressive nature of the trough vs the somewhat negatively tilted 
depiction the models were indicating the past few days. 
Regardless...there will almost certainly be locally higher values 
especially in the orographically favored areas North/East of Phoenix 
within the inherited Flood Watch but I will make some reductions to 
the total quantitative precipitation forecast forecast especially across the southern half of the 
forecast area. Will adjust the Flood Watch to run from 5 PM Sunday 
to 5 PM Monday. 


Rainfall will quickly move through the area Monday but one more 
upstream trough will dive southward Tuesday afternoon. Precipitation 
chances with this trough will be highest North/East of Phoenix but 
still think there could be some scattered showers across the 
deserts. Will leave the forecast for Tuesday largely unchanged with 
20-30 probability of precipitation around Phoenix and 40-50 probability of precipitation in the higher terrain. 
After that...dry northwesterly flow will persist through middle 
week...followed by late week ridging/warming. Temperatures will 
reach their lowest values on Monday and will slowly rebound back 
into the upper 70s/lower 80s by late next week. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa and ksdl... 


An approaching weather system will bring breezy southwesterly winds 
during the daytime hours today with gusts approaching 25 knots this 
afternoon. Increasing low level moisture will cause periodic low VFR 
ceilings through this evening and then more persistent broken ceilings at 
5-6k feet late tonight. There is a chance of few-scattered showers mainly 
across the northern fringes of the Phoenix area throughout the 
period with increasing chances on Sunday. Confidence is too low to 
include in the tafs at this time...except for vcsh at ksdl. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Low pressure approaching from the northwest will keep gusty 
southwesterly winds going through early this evening with some gusts 
approaching 35 knots this afternoon. There is an outside chance of 
blowing dust possible for a time this afternoon at both taf sites. 
Increasing moisture levels through the column will allow low VFR 
ceilings to develop this evening and persist through the overnight 
hours. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Monday through Friday... 
cool and wet conditions will be present on Monday and likely into 
Tuesday with the best chances for widespread rains on Monday. There 
will be a chance of a few thunderstorms on Monday. Humidities will 
be well above typical values through Tuesday before minimum values 
fall back into the teens starting Thursday afternoon. Periods of 
breezy southwesterly winds can be expected on Monday and again on 
Wednesday. High temperatures across the deserts will only reach into 
the 60s through Wednesday. High pressure bringing warmer and drier 
weather should move in starting later Wednesday and should persist 
through the end of the week. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...Flood Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon 
azz021>024. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...leins 
aviation...Kuhlman 
fire weather...Kuhlman 



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