Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 73°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 37%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 45°
  • Pressure: 29.94 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
73°
70°
72°
82°
90°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 AM MST on October 25, 2014

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 90F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 86F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 88F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SW in the afternoon.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 61F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 88F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Record Report  Statement as of 01:28 am MST on October 25, 2014


... Record high temperature set at Phoenix AZ...

a record high temperature of 96 degrees was set at Phoenix AZ
yesterday. This ties the old record of 96 set in
1952... 1959... 1990... and most recently in 2007.




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Mountain Vista Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:14 AM MST

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:09 AM MST

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 3.44 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:23 AM MST

Temperature: 67.2 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 68.8 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: WNW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 63.9 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 2:22 AM MST

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 66.1 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 65.1 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 2:16 AM MST

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 2:22 AM MST

Temperature: 70.6 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: NE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest Perkins AZ US, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 1:25 AM MST

Temperature: 68 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: WNW at 2 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 2:20 AM MST

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 65.2 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WTF Pulte, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: North at 2.2 mph Pressure: 28.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 67.9 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fletcher Heights, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Peoria AZ, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 71.8 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: 83rd Ave & Pinnacle Peak Rd, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Pebblecreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: NW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 107th and Campbell Ave, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 67.0 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: ENE at 1.8 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Tuscany Falls, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
800 PM MST Friday Oct 24 2014 


Synopsis... 
well above normal temperatures will continue as strong high pressure 
builds northeastward...with near-record high temperatures possible 
through Saturday across south-central Arizona. A cooling trend is 
then expected from Sunday into early next week as low pressure moves 
inland into the Great Basin...with temperatures falling back to near 
seasonal normals. A return to above normal temperatures is expected 
by Wednesday as high pressure becomes reestablished across the 
western states. 


&& 


Discussion... 
strong high pressure aloft persisted across the Desert Southwest 
early this evening...and 500 mb heights were quite high for this time of 
year...in excess of 590dm over southern Arizona per the 00z plot data. Infrared 
imagery at 8 PM showed clear skies across the region. With ample 
sunshine and very warm air aloft/high heights...high temperatures today 
climbed another few degrees and into record territory over the 
warmer lower deserts. Phoenix tied a record high of 96 degrees 
today...a mark that was 9 degrees above seasonal normals. The ridge 
is forecast to weaken slightly overnight tonight as a weak low off 
northern Baja California starts to move inland into far southeastern California by early Saturday. 
The low will move east across Arizona as a weak open wave on Saturday... 
bringing an increase in middle cloud to the southern deserts and leading to 
partly or even mostly cloudy skies in the Phoenix area by Saturday 
afternoon. Little if any precipitation is expected Saturday partly due to 
expected very dry air that will persist in the lower atmosphere. For 
the rest of tonight expect clear or mostly clear skies...very light 
winds and mild overnight temperatures. No updates needed to the forecast. 


Previous discussion... 
unseasonably warm temperatures continue to affect the region this 
afternoon as a strong 590dm upper ridge remains positioned over the 
Arizona/nm border. The combination of anomalously high heights...850mb 
temperatures around 22-23c...and sunny skies have allowed early afternoon 
temperatures to rise into the lower 90s as of 20z. With a few more 
hours of warming...near record temperatures look like a lock before the day 
is over in the Phoenix area. Today's record is in jeopardy in 
Phoenix whereas yuma's record of 105 will remain untouched. 


Not looking at any significant changes to the forecast on this 
shift. The ridge will slide east tonight as a weak low just west of 
Baja California California moves into southwest Arizona Saturday afternoon. The 
most recent runs of the GFS...Euro...and especially the NAM are 
indicating quite a bit of middle level moisture and broad isentropic 
ascent on the 310-320k surfaces along with modest moisture 
convergence between 12z Sat - 00z Sun. Point forecast soundings for 
tomorrow still reveal a considerable amount of dry air in the lower 
levels with near saturation between 700-500mb tomorrow 
afternoon...especially across SW Arizona. While it doesn't look 
impressive in the least on satellite at the moment...cloud cover 
should fill in as the low moves through the area. I bumped up cloud 
cover and also nudged probability of precipitation closer to 10 percent especially across 
western Maricopa County tomorrow afternoon/evening. 


The upper low will drift through the region Saturday night as 
another low moves through California into Utah on Sunday. This 
secondary trough could also kick off a few isolated showers across 
northern Arizona but our precipitation chances across the deserts look slim 
to none. Will maintain lower single digit probability of precipitation east of Phoenix for 
Sunday evening...then begin a drying trend Sunday night into Monday 
as a Flat Ridge becomes established across the area. 


On the subject of temperatures...should see slightly cooler 
temperatures on Saturday compared to today given lower heights and 
more cloud cover. Hard to call it a cool-down but desert temperatures 
should be about 2-3 degrees cooler. Still in the low/middle 90s. 
Discernible cooling trend will begin Sunday as the aforementioned 
trough moves eastward into The Rockies. Coolest day will likely be 
Monday as a southern stream Pacific trough amplifies across the 
region. However...temperatures will only drop to near or even 
slightly above normal. 


Warming trend is likely beginning Tuesday-Wednesday. Distinct 
difference in the operational GFS/European model (ecmwf) is apparent by midweek 
across the western Continental U.S.. latest European model (ecmwf) is favored given its strong 
performance over the past two weeks and relatively low ensemble 
spread. Consequently...forecast temperatures have been increased 
owing to another anomalously strong ridge across the western states. 
Probability of precipitation remain none through all of next week. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa and ksdl...southeast 
California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Mostly clear skies will prevail at all taf sites through Saturday 
morning. There will be an increase in cloud cover starting in the 
early to middle morning Saturday as moisture is advected through 
Arizona...could even be a few sprinkles in some spots but not enough 
coverage/confidence to include in any tafs. Impacts would be minimal 
as ceilings should remain well above critical thresholds. Most bases 
affecting the central Arizona deserts Saturday will be at or above 8k feet. As 
for winds...winds will be light and will favor the typical diurnal 
directions through Saturday evening. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Climate... 
record high temperatures 


Date Phoenix 
---- ------- 
Friday Oct 24 96 in 2007 
Sat Oct 25 96 in 1990 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Monday through Friday... 
ridging will return to the area next week with gradually increasing 
temperatures throughout the week. No major wind events are expected 
during this period as any troughs will be displaced well north of 
the region. Afternoon humidities will fall into the upper teens to 
lower 20 percent range each day with good overnight recoveries 
expected. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...cumulonimbus 
previous discussion...leins/Hirsch 
climate...MO/Hirsch 
aviation...cb/leins 
fire weather...leins 
















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