Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 50°
  • Haze
  • Wind: North 6 mph
  • Humidity: 22%
  • Visibility: 2.5 miles
  • Dew Point: 12°
  • Pressure: 30.13 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
48°
48°
43°
43°
59°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 39 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Clear
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 8:00 PM MST on November 23, 2014

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the WSW in the afternoon.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the NNE after midnight.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 39F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 50.4 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: ENE at 2.3 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:09 PM MST

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 9:00 PM MST

Temperature: 49.8 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 49.2 °F Dew Point: 13 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:18 PM MST

Temperature: 51.7 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: WNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 11:18 PM MST

Temperature: 46.6 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 50.4 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 15% Wind: NW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:09 PM MST

Temperature: 47.1 °F Dew Point: 7 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: ESE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:07 PM MST

Temperature: 50.9 °F Dew Point: 9 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: WNW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 50.0 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 49.2 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 11:16 PM MST

Temperature: 57.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 47.0 °F Dew Point: 9 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 15% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Peoria AZ, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 16 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: West at 1.2 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 83rd Ave & Pinnacle Peak Rd, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 57.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: North at 2.2 mph Pressure: 28.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 67th Ave & Union Hills Drive, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 11:11 PM MST

Temperature: 57.9 °F Dew Point: 7 °F Humidity: 13% Wind: ENE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 52.3 °F Dew Point: 10 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Pebblecreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 11:18 PM MST

Temperature: 51.0 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 107th and Campbell Ave, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 46.1 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Remmel's Acres, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 60.0 °F Dew Point: 16 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Tuscany Falls, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 11:19 PM MST

Temperature: 56.7 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: ENE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
845 PM MST sun Nov 23 2014 


Synopsis... 
dry northwest flow will prevail the next couple days with mostly 
sunny days...clear nights...and near seasonal normal high 
temperatures. Stronger high pressure will rebuild over the region by 
the middle of the week...leading to well above normal afternoon 
temperatures. No precipitation is expected for at least the next 
seven days. 


&& 


Discussion... 
shortwave energy has largely filled into the longer wave trough axis 
over the central United States this evening...with dry northwest flow 
in its wake over the local forecast area. A low level frontal 
boundary has swept well past the area now...with the Post frontal 
pressure gradient already weakening substantially from this 
afternoon. However...enough wind still exists over the western half of 
the forecast area to keep temperatures from falling as quickly as 
forecast. In addition...the pattern suggests ridge tops and exposed 
high elevation locations will maintain some mixing overnight 
inhibiting full radiational cooling. Therefore...have made some very 
minor targeted increases to forecast lows...though the overall trend 
of somewhat cooler temperatures through the next 24 hours prevails. 
Otherwise...some significant adjustment were made to short term 
dewpoint grids as very dry air has overspread much of the 
area...however some residual moisture remains trapped in valley 
locations. 


&& 


Previous discussion... 
/225 PM MST sun Nov 23 2014/ 
dry northwest flow will dominant the forecast for the next few days 
as high pressure ridging continues to amplify and shift eastward from 
off the Pacific. In the wake of sunday's frontal passage...daytime 
temperatures Monday expected to see a few degrees of 
cooling...ranging from the upper 60s to low 70s. Tightened surface 
pressure gradients orientated along the Mogollon Rim will persist 
overnight Monday into Tuesday...keeping some enhanced easterly flow 
over ridgetops and terrain gaps of southern Gila and Maricopa 
counties. 


By Wednesday afternoon the ridge is forecast to move inland over the 
Desert Southwest...with 500 mb heights climbing to around 585dm over the 
western deserts. As such...expect a warming trend through midweek with 
highs rising mainly into the middle 70s over the lower deserts 
Wednesday. Despite the ridge beginning to flatten a bit 
Thursday...warm air aloft will continue to mix to the surface and 
best performing gridded MOS and consensus guidance calls for highs to 
rise several more degrees...possibly into the lower 80s. Look for 
Thanksgiving high temperatures 10...if not more...degrees above 
normal. There will be occasional high clouds moving through the flow 
each day but overall expect sunny or mostly sunny days and generally 
clear nights. 


Toward the end of the week...guidance calls for the ridge to 
continue to flatten as the flow pattern becomes more zonal and 
progressive. Despite ensemble members becoming very messy with 
time...operational GFS and European model (ecmwf) runs agree that far southeastern Arizona and southern 
Arizona will stay under a rather dry westerly flow aloft through Saturday 
with occasional high clouds moving through the flow. High temperatures will 
start to fall off but should remain well above seasonal normals each 
day. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl... 
no significant aviation concerns through Monday evening with only 
some high cirrus. However...slantwise visibilities will be reduced 
especially west of kphx below the inversion layer due to smoke. Some 
minor visibility improvement will be possible Monday afternoon. Surface winds 
will favor a NE trajectory through Monday morning...but a weakened 
gradient will allow for the more traditional afternoon westerly component 
to develop by early afternoon. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona...including kipl and 
kblh... 
no major aviation impacts through Monday evening with only some high 
cirrus. Surface winds will favor a west/northwest trajectory through the entire 
period...with only some brief gustiness at kblh Monday afternoon. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Tuesday through Saturday... 
strong surface high pressure centered over Colorado will lead to 
localized north and northeast breeziness Tuesday. Light winds can 
then be expected across the forecast area Wednesday through 
Saturday. Temperatures will start off a bit below normal Tuesday 
followed by a substantial warming trend Wednesday and Thursday as a 
ridge of high pressure builds over the region. As the ridge weakens 
late in the week...temperatures will nudge downward. Minimum 
humidities will remain low...10-15 percent...with modest overnight 
recovery. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...MO/Nolte/cb 
aviation....MO 
fire weather...aj 



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