Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 64°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: South 13 mph
  • Humidity: 41%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 40°
  • Pressure: 29.85 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
71°
76°
82°
81°
73°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 60 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 58 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 80 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 62 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 5:02 AM MST on January 29, 2016

  • Friday

    Some clouds this morning will give way to generally sunny skies for the afternoon. High 84F. Winds WSW at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear skies. Low around 60F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday

    Sunshine and some clouds. High 83F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy skies early followed by mostly cloudy skies and a few showers later at night. Thunder possible. Low 58F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High near 80F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear skies. Low 59F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Mainly sunny. High 88F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low 62F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 93F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 66F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Sunny. High 98F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 66F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mainly sunny. High 97F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear skies. Low 61F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 87F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly clear. Low 57F. Winds SW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Saturday

    Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 79F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low around 55F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine in the morning with more clouds for later in the day. High 83F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear to partly cloudy. Low 58F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Sunny skies. High 88F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low 61F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: East at 3.5 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: kingswood park, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 71.4 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: South at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:50 AM MST

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Roseview, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:46 AM MST

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MVCOTTONWOOD, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 66.9 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: SW at 5.8 mph Pressure: 28.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:46 AM MST

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Gable Hill, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: SSE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Happy Trails, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 9:51 AM MDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: WNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand #12 Cimarron, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:40 AM MST

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: South at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:50 AM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela - Trevi(3), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:47 AM MST

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: SSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela - Trevi(2), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 67.8 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: South at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Happy Trails - 14th Tee, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: ESE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 28.52 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:50 AM MST

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 28.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:46 AM MST

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: North at - Pressure: 28.55 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Copper Canyon Ranch, Waddell, AZ

Updated: 8:46 AM MST

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:50 AM MST

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: ESE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sierra Montana, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:50 AM MST

Temperature: 67.2 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: South at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 7:44 AM MST

Temperature: 67 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:46 AM MST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: West at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:43 AM MST

Temperature: 71.8 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: SE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms (Tasha Dr), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: SSW at 7.2 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Silverado at Crossriver, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 8:43 AM MST

Temperature: 74.7 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: South at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 8:51 AM MST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: SSW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
443 am MST Friday Apr 29 2016 


Synopsis... 
dry northwest flow aloft will increase over the region today through 
Saturday. Warmer afternoon temperatures are also forecast. 
However...another Pacific low pressure system is expected to move 
into the region Saturday night and Sunday...developing breezy 
conditions and a threat for showers and thunderstorms. The best 
chance of precipitation will occur over the south central Arizona 
deserts and mountains...mainly in the vicinity of Phoenix. Clearing 
is expected Sunday night...with high pressure and much warmer 
weather next week. 


&& 


Discussion... 


Today and Saturday... 


The cool low pressure system that moved into Arizona Thursday...and 
provided afternoon temperatures about 13 degrees below normal...was 
moving east into New Mexico this morning. Dry northwest flow aloft 
will develop today and Saturday...however breezy to windy conditions 
will pick up again Saturday afternoon in response to a stronger 
weather system expected Sunday. Otherwise partly cloudy to mostly 
clear skies...and warmer temperatures are expected today and 
Saturday. 


Saturday night and Sunday... 


This is the exciting period...as yet another weather system is 
forecast to plunge into the region Saturday night and Sunday from 
the north. This system is different from the one that passed on 
Thursday on many levels. First...Thursday evenings San Diego weather 
balloon sounding showed appreciable low level moisture below 5000 
feet...with about 0.63 inches of precipitable water. Precipitation water 
values matched those seen on Thursday evenings precipitation water 
satellite imagery...with more seen offshore. So more moisture will 
be involved with this system. Second...the sundays disturbance will 
move in from the Pacific northwest...deepening south into far 
western Arizona by Saturday midnight. Fundamentally speaking...southward 
moving systems normally intensify due to the loss of planetary 
vorticity. Therefore...we can expected a spin-up in the system. 
Thirdly...500 mb height falls drop 80-100 meters over Southern 
California/Colorado River valley by Saturday evening. Height falls seem to 
be orientated in a pattern suggesting strong vertical motion in a 
triangular area from Imperial California...north to Needles California...and south 
to Yuma early Saturday night. In response...low level winds below 
5000 feet back strongly from the Gulf of California...tapping additional low 
level moisture...and moisture that moves over the Baja California peninsula 
from the Pacific. 


Increasing middle/upper level dynamics...and favorable thermodynamics 
with the additional boundary layer moisture...will result in the 
potential for early afternoon thunderstorms over south central 
Arizona...focused generally around Wickenburg...Phoenix...Casa Grande... 
and the mountains north through east of Phoenix. Modeled soundings 
hint at a convective trigger temperature of 72 degree f at Phoenix (a 
high temperature of 81 is forecast)...69 degree at Wickenburg (a high of 75 is 
forecast)...and 60 degrees at Globe (a high of 71 is forecast). The 
only caveat is...right now the greatest thermodynamic instability is 
between 8am and 1 PM MST...with hints that the atmosphere may slowly 
start to stabilize after that. For southeast California and the Colorado 
River zones...it may be too stable for any thunderstorms on 
Sunday...just a slight chance of showers. 


Sunday night and Monday... 


Sundays weather system will be a quick mover...shifting into New 
Mexico Sunday night...with very stable weather following for Monday. 
A warmer afternoon is expected Monday. 


Tuesday through Thursday... 


A high pressure system will build into the region this period for 
mostly clear skies and much warmer temperatures. In other words... 
back to normal Spring-Time weather...with ouch...desert temperatures 
in the 90s again. Its also conceivable that Phoenix can reach its 
first 100 degree temperature of the year Thursday under south winds/warm 
advection. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa and ksdl... 


Middle-level morning stratus decks moving in from the north will 
dissipate during the morning...with enough moisture around to 
maintain some few to scattered clouds gnly 8 to 10kft into the afternoon/early 
evening. Morning surface winds will hold onto some westerly drift with 
periods of light and variable observations possible. If the cloud 
decks begin to clear over phx but hold over the eastern mountains 
during the late morning...some easterly drifts may develop into kphx 
but not looking for that to happen at this time. Elevated west winds 
to return for the afternoon with sustained speeds pushing 12kts and 
gusts into the 20kt range. 


Southeast California/southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


West winds to continue for kipl through the taf period while winds 
will begin to transition southwest to south for kblh by this evening. 
Afternoon gustiness 15 to 20 kts possible with mostly clear skies. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Sunday through Thursday... 
another upper low will continue to approach and travel through the 
region Sunday...this time drawing in some moisture off the Pacific to 
warrant some slight chances for showers and thunderstorms across the 
region. Chances for wetting rains are very low to none for the 
majority of the districts but another round of cooler temperatures 
and slightly increasing dewpoints will lead to daytime humidities in 
the 20 to 30 percent range. High pressure will transition into the 
area beginning Monday allowing for temperatures to return to and then 
quickly warm above normal with daytime humidities drying below 10 
percent by midweek. Winds will be on the lighter side...with 
southerly breezes picking up midweek across southeast California. 


&& 


Spotter information statement... 
spotter activation is not expected. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arizona...none. 
California...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...vasquez 
aviation...Nolte 
fire weather...Nolte 



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