Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 66°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 28%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 32°
  • Pressure: 30.08 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
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66°
63°
57°
52°
52°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 PM MST on January 26, 2015

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning, then overcast with rain showers. High of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with rain showers, then a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 52F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Low of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Clear with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 70F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 20 mph shifting to the East in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: SE at 1.2 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:20 PM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 30% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: NNE at 1.5 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:20 PM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand The Manors, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:21 PM MST

Temperature: 70.5 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NNE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 3:23 PM MST

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: -12 °F Humidity: 3% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 3:23 PM MST

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: West at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET El Mirage AZ US, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 3:00 PM MST

Temperature: 68 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: West at 1 mph Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: NW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MSM Weather, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 71.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:11 PM MST

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: ESE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:13 PM MST

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: NE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.04 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 3:22 PM MST

Temperature: 69.5 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Sun City West AZ US, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 3:02 PM MST

Temperature: 69 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: NW at 2 mph Pressure: 29.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Phase 3, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 3:22 PM MST

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 69.0 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Youngtown AZ US, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 3:04 PM MST

Temperature: 68 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: SW at 2 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 67.8 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WTF Pulte, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: North at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Saguaro Manor,Luke AFB, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 3:11 PM MST

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NW at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 89th Ave and Pinnacle Peak, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:01 PM MST

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Vistancia, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:21 PM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fletcher Heights, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:24 PM MST

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Vistancia, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Hidden Manor HOA, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 3:20 PM MST

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Peoria AZ US, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:01 PM MST

Temperature: 68 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: WNW at 2 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
150 PM MST Monday Jan 26 2015 


Synopsis... 
a low pressure system will continue to affect the region tonight 
with periods of light rain. This disturbance will move north of the 
region Tuesday...and in its wake above normal temperatures and 
higher than normal humidities will prevail. Another low pressure 
system will bring additional moisture and renewed higher chances for 
precipitation late in the week and into the weekend. 


&& 


Discussion... 
a weakening pv anomaly near 31n 118w was lifting north on the 
leeward side of a high amplitude ridge dominating the western Continental U.S. This 
afternoon. Ascent in the form a broad isentropic lift and warm 
advection was acting on a plume of higher Theta-E air stretching 
from southeastern Arizona through west central Arizona. Within the overall 
flow pattern of backed midtropospheric winds...radar echoes indicate 
a mesoscale-vorticity near kipl which appears to be enhancing echoes lift 
through southeastern California. Across central Arizona...a deep layer of dry 
air below the 700 mb level still persists with T/dew point depressions near 40f 
suggesting more difficulty will be encountered reaching wetbulb 
temperatures and accumulating rainfall reaching the surface. 


The preponderance of high resolution models match current radar 
returns quite closely showing a solid corridor of showers lifting 
through western Arizona...developing area of broken showers in the 
vicinity of the aforementioned meso-vort...and weaker echoes lifting 
north from the Tucson area. While the entire forecast area will 
likely see some measure of rainfall...preferred high resolution emc 
WRF and NSSL WRF members depict the initial central Arizona rain band 
struggling this afternoon...and more scattered fast moving showers this 
evening and overnight lifting into northern Arizona. 
Eventually...subsident downglide and drying (already seen in WV 
imagery propagating up the Baja California peninsula will overspread the 
region...drastically limiting the rain potential. 


Drier air aloft will surge into the forecast area Tuesday...but 
residual low level moisture will keep some lingering strato-cumulus 
through at least the early afternoon. However...there should be 
sufficient cloud breaks during peak heating along with abnormally 
warm 800 mb temperatures to result in afternoon highs above 3f-6f above 
normal. Shortwave ridging...warm temperatures aloft and nearly full 
insolation will prevail through Wednesday providing another 
unusually warm day with highs some 5f-10f above normal. 


Another upper low emanating from the east Pacific will move into the 
region Wednesday night...initially as an open wave however tapping a 
wealth of subtropical moisture with a deep fetch of meridional flow. 
While the magnitude of subtropical moisture remains in 
question...subjective pattern recognition and model trends support a 
more significant surge than previously forecast by global models. 
For now...best rainfall chances were hedged across central and 
eastern Arizona. Exact timing of the rain is hard to nail down at 
this point...but feel best chances will be during the daytime hours 
Friday. Would not be surprised if lingering showers persist through 
much of Saturday as the upper low could become quasi-stationary over 
the region for a day or so. Have selectively decreased highs by a 
few degrees on Friday given the higher confidence of rain and 
maintained a near persistence forecast for Saturday. 


Confidence for this coming weekend is still fairly low as models 
have had some difficulty over the past few model runs...but in 
general it would seem things may dry out by Saturday night or early 
Sunday. Slight chance probability of precipitation remain in the forecast into Saturday 
night...but have trimmed probability of precipitation on Sunday with the only slight chance 
probability of precipitation now over the higher terrain east of Phoenix. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa and ksdl... 
a low pressure system is still on track to bring increasing moisture 
and light rain to the Phoenix terminals from late this afternoon 
into tonight. However...latest hi-res model output and forecast 
soundings are trending a bit drier than earlier runs. Thus...current 
thinking now is that broken-overcast cloud layers will likely remain at or above 6k 
feet through much of the evening rush...with just some scattered (at worst) 
layers around 6k feet perhaps briefly forming this evening once the 
light rain/showers do move in the region. 


Ceilings in the 4-6k feet are more likely to occur late tonight as 
additional shower activity moves across the phx area and southerly 
flow aloft pushes additional low-level moisture into the 
region...with these ceilings lingering until around midday on Tuesday before 
clearing on Tuesday afternoon as high pressure begins to build northward 
back into the region. Winds are expected to remain quite light 
through the taf period...reverting to an easterly direction by late 
tonight. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 
light showers to bring ceilings down into the 3-5k feet range at both kipl 
and kblh late this afternoon through this evening. Although these 
showers are forecast to end by midnight...light winds and a rather 
moist airmass are expected to allow scattered to broken ceilings in the 3-6k feet 
range to linger into Tuesday morning before slowly clearing on te 
afternoon. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Wednesday through Sunday... 
above normal temperatures and relatively moist conditions will 
prevail Wednesday-Thursday as a ridge predominates across Mexico. 
Another low pressure system will result in increasing rain chances 
and cooler temperatures Friday and Saturday. A warming and drying 
trend is expected Sunday as a ridge builds across California. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...MO/Kuhlman 
aviation...percha 
fire weather...Hirsch 



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