Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 64°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NE 2 mph
  • Humidity: 23%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 25°
  • Pressure: 30.13 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
1  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
58°
54°
51°
66°
77°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Clear
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 53 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 9:03 PM MST on January 08, 2016

  • Tuesday

    Sunny skies. High 83F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low near 50F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High 83F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday Night

    Some clouds early will give way to generally clear conditions overnight. Low around 50F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 84F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 52F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 86F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low 53F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Sunshine. High 87F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 54F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High around 85F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds. Low 54F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 81F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low 53F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 84F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly clear. Low 53F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High 82F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy late. Low 53F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day. High 77F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low 52F. Winds light and variable.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: SE at 2.3 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: kingswood park, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 62.6 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: SSE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: West Point, Surprise AZ, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:17 AM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: ENE at 6.3 mph Pressure: 28.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:25 AM MST

Temperature: 62.6 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Roseview, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MVCOTTONWOOD, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: NE at 8.4 mph Pressure: 28.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 64.9 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Gable Hill, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Happy Trails, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 54.5 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:23 AM MST

Temperature: 62.8 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: ENE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:25 AM MST

Temperature: 64.9 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela - Trevi(3), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:16 AM MST

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: ENE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela - Trevi(2), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:17 AM MST

Temperature: 66.5 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: East at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela - Trevi(1), Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:24 AM MST

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: NE at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand-Cimarron # 6, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 55.8 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Happy Trails - 14th Tee, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 53.8 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: West at 1.1 mph Pressure: 28.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:24 AM MST

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: NE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 28.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: North at - Pressure: 28.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Copper Canyon Ranch, Waddell, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 63.0 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:22 AM MST

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sierra Montana, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:25 AM MST

Temperature: 59.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: NNW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 63.5 °F Dew Point: -8 °F Humidity: 5% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 11:59 PM MST

Temperature: 66 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 12:24 AM MST

Temperature: 60.4 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 54.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 55.5 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 11:59 PM MST

Temperature: 54.3 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: SE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 12:24 AM MST

Temperature: 56.5 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 31% Wind: NW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 12:26 AM MST

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: East at 4.5 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Silverado at Crossriver, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 12:23 AM MST

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: SSW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 12:22 AM MST

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: NE at 4.9 mph Pressure: 29.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
1035 PM MST Monday Feb 8 2016 


Update... updated aviation section. 


Synopsis...high pressure will remain the dominant weather feature 
over the southwestern United States this week. This will result in a 
prolonged period of sunny skies...above normal temperatures... 
relatively light winds...and low humidity. 


&& 


Discussion... a very mild evening (for early feb) is being observed 
across the region...with many of the warmer Lower Desert locations 
still in the 70s at this hour. Very strong ridging aloft...with 
500mb heights at or above 584dm...combined with low-level downslope 
northeasterly flow helped to push temperatures this afternoon well 
up into the 80s at many Lower Desert spots across our County Warning Area...with 
Phoenix Sky Harbor reaching 85f...just a degree shy of the record 
for the date. The latest NAM and 18z GFS continue to indicate that 
this very warm weather will last through at least the rest of the 
week...with little day-to-day change in temperatures through the 
period...under mostly clear skies. For the rest of tonight...other 
than some very minor adjustments to the hourly grids...current 
forecasts are looking quite good...no updates are planned. 


&& 


Previous discussion... 


Through Friday... 


An anomalously strong high pressure system built over the region 
last night and will remain stationary this week. Temperatures on the 
lower deserts will warm into the 80s. However...a developing 
subtropical like low pressure system will continue to track well 
south of Arizona...moving east across central Baja California today into north 
central Mexico south of El Paso on Tuesday. A resulting north/south 
pressure gradient will continue the north/northeast breezes across 
the region...particularly down the Colorado River valley the 
remainder of the afternoon and evening. Lighter winds are forecast 
on Tuesday. 




This weekend... 


Again...steady state unseasonably warm afternoons...in the 80s over 
the lower deserts...will continue into the weekend. However...the 
high pressure system will break down Saturday as a much weakened 
Pacific disturbance is forecast to move across northern Arizona. Of much 
greater interest...is a sheared portion of this Pacific system 
forming a cutoff low off the San Diego coast Sunday...deepening 
south to offshore southern Baja California Monday...near the northern edges of 
warm El Nino waters. In comparison...we remember during the 1991- 
1992 El Nino event...cutoff lows in this El Nino region spun up 
incredibly fast due to the phasing of a subtropical jetstream. This 
resulted in appreciable rains on the southern Arizona deserts. Perhaps 
rain is in the offing next Monday and Tuesday which is a little 
beyond this 7 day forecast. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl... 


High pressure over the 4-corners region to keep winds from an 
easterly direction at all of the phx area terminals through the taf 
period. Wind speed will remain mainly at or below 8 kts...except for a 
period of time during the late morning-early afternoon hours on 
Tuesday...when stronger winds aloft mixing down to the surface increases 
speeds a bit...up into the 10-12kt range at kphx. Skies to remain 
basically clear through the taf period. 


Southeast California/southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Northerly breezes at kblh to gradually diminish late tonight and 
early Tuesday...as surface pressure gradients weaken over the 
region...with winds becoming light/variable by Tuesday afternoon. 
Winds at kipl to remain on the light side...mainly at or below 8 
kts...following typical diurnal trends. Skies to remain mainly clear 
through tonight...with some patchy cirrus cloud layers passing over 
the terminals during the day on Tuesday. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 


Wednesday through Sunday...an unseasonably strong high pressure 
ridge will build over the western states during the week. This will 
lead to a persistent period of well above normals high temperatures 
..with readings peaking 10 to 15 degrees above seasonal normals. 
Many lower elevation and desert sites will see a stretch of days 
with high temperatures warming past the 80 degree mark. Rh's will 
also remain on the drier and below normal side during the week with 
min values typically in the low to middle teens. 


Locally breezy conditions along the Colorado River valley are expected 
each afternoon. More noticeable easterly winds will flow into the 
south-central Arizona deserts...with elevated winds over ridgetops and 
gaps to the North/East of Phoenix. Winds elsewhere will generally 
follow typical drainage/slope driven headings with light speeds. By 
weeks end the upper ridge will begin to shift to our east as 
troughing aligns itself over the West Coast again. Some very slight 
temperature cooling and increasing cloudiness are likely over the 
weekend. 


&& 


Climate... 
Phoenix | Yuma 
forecast | record (year) | forecast | record (year) 


Monday Feb 8 83 | 86 (1970) | 81 | 88 (1996) 
Tuesday Feb 9 83 | 84 (1987) | 83 | 90 (2015) 
Wednesday Feb 10 83 | 87 (1951) | 83 | 93 (1951) 
Thursday Feb 11 83 | 83 (1951) | 84 | 86 (1971) 


&& 


Spotter information statement... 
spotters are encouraged to report based on Standard operating 
procedures. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arizona...none. 
California...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...percha/vasquez 
climate......Nolte 
aviation...percha 
fire weather...Nolte/cb 



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