Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 49°
  • Clear
  • Wind: North 10 mph
  • Humidity: 51%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 31°
  • Pressure: 29.89 in. 0

Select a Section

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
50°
46°
48°
66°
75°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 AM MST on November 29, 2014

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 48F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 72F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 68F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Record Report  Statement as of 1:25 am MST on November 28, 2014


... Record high temperature set at Phoenix AZ...

A record high temperature of 87 degrees was set at Phoenix AZ
yesterday. This breaks the old record of 86 set in 1950.




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 50.7 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: ENE at 1.2 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:08 AM MST

Temperature: 49.6 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 50.0 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:12 AM MST

Temperature: 50.9 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: NNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 46.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 14% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 50.9 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: MSM Weather, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 1:03 AM MST

Temperature: 51.5 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:05 AM MST

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: North at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 1:07 AM MST

Temperature: 48.9 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 50.7 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 1:11 AM MST

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: East at 1.1 mph Pressure: 28.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 49.9 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 1:09 AM MST

Temperature: 49.3 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 46.8 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: WTF Pulte, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 31% Wind: WNW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 49.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Peoria AZ, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 55.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: NNE at 2.3 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: 83rd Ave & Pinnacle Peak Rd, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 55.0 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 51.6 °F Dew Point: 11 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Pebblecreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 1:12 AM MST

Temperature: 49.5 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: 107th and Campbell Ave, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 47.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Remmel's Acres, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 49.2 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Corte Sierra, Avondale, AZ

Updated: 1:11 AM MST

Temperature: 53.8 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Tuscany Falls, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 1:13 AM MST

Temperature: 55.2 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
930 PM MST Friday Nov 28 2014 


Synopsis... 
unseasonably warm and dry weather will prevail across the region 
through the weekend under strong high pressure. With mostly sunny 
skies...temperatures will only slowly cool through early next week. 
A low pressure system will affect the western United States next 
week with a few light showers potentially affecting parts of 
southeast California and central Arizona Tuesday into Wednesday. 


&& 


Discussion... 
high temperatures across the area were generally 10 to 15 degrees 
above average this afternoon as the region remains under the 
influence of upper level anticyclonic flow. In the Phoenix 
area...the high reached 84 degrees...just two degrees shy of the 
record set all the way back in 1901. Clear skies and light winds 
overnight will again produce favorable conditions for radiational 
cooling and a sharp drop in temperatures. Forecast remains on track 
and no changes are needed this evening. 


&& 


Discussion... 
for tonight through the weekend the ridge will remain more or less 
in place...but will slowly weaken with time as short wave energy 
moves out of the eastern Pacific and rides over the top of the ridge. 
One such short wave quickly races east across the ridge 
Sunday...bringing a batch of thicker high clouds for partly sunny 
skies. Temperature trends over the weekend show a steady falloff with highs 
retreating into the middle 70s by Sunday...still 5 degrees or more 
above climatology. 


12z medium range models have continued the trend of deepening a wave 
emanating over the Aleutian chain...into a cutoff feature spinning 
well west of the California coast through the middle of next week. 
Subjectively...dprog/dt trends appear to have the central circulation 
even further to the west while the subtropical moisture tap gets 
pulled more to the north and west towards the la basin versus the 
local forecast area. The key players appear to lie in the northern 
stream where wave energy first bypasses the cutoff in southwestern 
Canada...and then upstream energy through the northern Pacific is 
insufficient to act as an effective kicker. 00z naefs ensemble 
output shows far less member dispersion than the prior 12z 
iterations...with the mean solution now nearly mirroring the 
operational GFS/Gem/ECMWF (yielding increasingly better forecast 
confidence). 


Given these aforementioned model trends...have made some notable 
increases to high temperatures through the middle/end of week period as 
downstream shortwave ridging east of the cutoff should maintain 
local 500 mb heights somewhere in a 576-582dm range. Despite the 
potential for occasional thicker cirrus cover spilling east from the 
Pacific...low level thermal fields remains quite warm and would 
argue for temperatures in the near to above normal range. Have also 
selectively bumped low temperatures up on mornings most likely to 
experience the thicker insulating cloud cover. 


Despite the majority of energy remaining well removed from the 
forecast area...there still is adequate evidence of deeper 
subtropical moisture seeping into the forecast area. This 
atmospheric river will be pulled north through a southern extension 
of a subtropical jet...though the bulk of the high quality moisture 
will be wrung out in the orographic ascent to the west of the County Warning Area. 
However...the magnitude and depth of this moisture band should be 
large enough to allow residual showers to survive into parts of the 
forecast area Tuesday and Wednesday...albeit likely widely scattered 
in nature and not overwhelming in quantity. Probability of precipitation may be refined 
somewhat in the future...however without a single strongly forced 
feature to act on the moisture feed...this pattern generally argues 
for a few light showers over several periods with limited 
predictability. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...ksdl... 
southeast California and southwest Arizona...including kipl and 
kblh... 


Expect light surface winds through Saturday morning under a ridge of 
high pressure. The ridge will begin to weaken Saturday afternoon 
allowing a little bit of cirrus into the area. Winds Saturday 
afternoon will be more noticeable over the lower Colorado River 
valley...from the south...but not strong. Within the Phoenix 
metropolitan...smoldering Mulch fire near Luke AFB will continue to cause 
variable visibility reductions in the West Valley. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Sunday through Thursday... 
little change in the weather pattern through the early week as high 
pressure remains the dominant feature over the southwest. As a 
result...dry and warm conditions will persist under mostly clear 
skies. By Tuesday...a large storm system will be developing over the 
Pacific and California coast...spreading increasing clouds and precipitation 
chances into California by late Tuesday. Slight differences in the timing 
and overall amounts of precipitation still remain within model 
forecasts. But overall...slight precipitation chances will expand from west 
to east across the fire zones Tuesday through Wednesday. Look for 
cooler temperatures and increasing dewpoints which will help 
afternoon humidities fall only into the 20 to 30 percent 
range...possibly Richer in the higher terrain locales. Look for 
precipitation chances to dissipate heading into Thursday with zonal 
southwest upper level flow remaining over the area. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...Hirsch 
previous discussion...cb/MO 
aviation...aj 
fire weather...Nolte 



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