Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Excessive Heat Warning View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 108°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: South 16 mph
  • Humidity: 15%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 52°
  • Pressure: 29.70 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
5  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
109°
102°
97°
90°
90°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 109 °
  • Low: 90 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 108 °
  • Low: 84 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 106 °
  • Low: 90 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 79 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 PM MST on July 30, 2014

Excessive heat warning in effect until 8 PM MST Thursday...
  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 109F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 90F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 108F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 84F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 106F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 90F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 100F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the WSW in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 79F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph shifting to the NE after midnight. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 100F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 102F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 104F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 86F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW after midnight.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 106F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 82F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 108F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 106F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 104F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 104F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Excessive Heat Warning  Statement as of 12:00 PM PDT on July 30, 2014/


... Excessive heat warning remains in effect until 8 PM MST /8 PM
PDT/ Thursday...

An excessive heat warning remains in effect until 8 PM MST /8 PM
PDT/ Thursday.

* Affected area... the lower deserts of south central Arizona and
southeast California... including Phoenix... Yuma... and el
centro.

* Temperature... afternoon highs ranging from 110 to 115.
Overnight lows in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

* Impacts... for those who work or exercise outdoors or those
without access to air conditioning... especially the elderly...
there will be high potential for serious illness from heat
exposure if proper extra precautions are not taken.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Never leave kids or pets unattended in cars. Drink more water
than usual and avoid alcohol... sugar... and caffeine. When
outdoors... wear light colored clothing and a wide-brimmed hat to
keep your head and body cooler. Take frequent rest breaks in
shaded or air conditioned environments. Public places with air
conditioning include libraries... community centers... government
buildings... malls... and special Refuge stations.

Recognize the signs and symptoms of heat illness. Early symptoms
include things such as headache... thirst... and muscle cramps.
Serious symptoms include weakness... skin that is cool to the
touch... fast but weak pulse... nausea... and fainting. Severe
symptoms include hot and red dry skin... fast and strong pulse...
sweating that has stopped... and unconsciousness. Untreated heat
illness can lead to fatal heat stroke.

Stay cool... stay hydrated... stay informed.





 Record Report  Statement as of 2:11 am MST on July 30, 2014


... Record high minimum temperature set at Phoenix AZ...

A record high minimum temperature of 92 degrees was set at Phoenix
AZ yesterday. This breaks the old record of 90 last set in 1980.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 110.5 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 14% Wind: South at 4.6 mph Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 4:06 PM MST

Temperature: 109.9 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: NW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 109 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:03 PM MST

Temperature: 108.1 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:17 PM MST

Temperature: 107.3 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: South at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:16 PM MST

Temperature: 106.4 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: South at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 106.7 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 2% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 28.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 6:17 PM MST

Temperature: 107.6 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 109.1 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: WSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: MSM Weather, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 6:12 PM MST

Temperature: 107.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: South at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.58 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:11 PM MST

Temperature: 110.1 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: North at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 110 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 6:13 PM MST

Temperature: 108.0 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: NNE at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 108.1 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: West at 6.9 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 6:14 PM MST

Temperature: 109.3 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: South at 2.9 mph Pressure: 28.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 107.8 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: SSW at 8.1 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 6:14 PM MST

Temperature: 108.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 112 °F Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 109.9 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 14% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.57 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 107.5 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 15% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Fletcher Heights, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 108.7 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: WSW at 5.3 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Peoria AZ, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 108.0 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: WSW at 2.3 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Coventry Estates, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 111.6 °F Dew Point: 45 °F Humidity: 11% Wind: South at 5.4 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Pebblecreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 106.7 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 17% Wind: SSE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 4:13 PM MST

Temperature: 112.6 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 14% Wind: ESE at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: 107th and Campbell Ave, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 107.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: WSW at 4.9 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Thunderbird Paseo, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 106.9 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 2% Wind: SSW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 28.41 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Tuscany Falls, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 6:18 PM MST

Temperature: 110.3 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 22.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: Glendale Community College, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 6:17 PM MST

Temperature: 106.2 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: East at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: WEST GLEN, GLENDALE, AZ

Updated: 6:16 PM MST

Temperature: 107.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
130 PM MST Wednesday Jul 30 2014 


Synopsis... 
there will be a break in the monsoon through Thursday...with 
decreased chances of showers and thunderstorms. 
Consequently...temperatures will continue their upward trend and 
highs in the 110-115 range will be common across the deserts through 
Thursday. A return to a more typical monsoon regime is expected late 
Friday into the weekend as showers and thunderstorms are once again 
expected across the region. 


&& 


Discussion... 
monsoon high is located along the southern Arizona/nm border...which is 
resulting in a westerly flow in the middle-levels and a southwesterly 
flow aloft. Main concern for today is the hot conditions and an 
excessive heat warning remains in effect for the lower deserts. In 
the Phoenix area...temperatures are already approaching the 100 
degree mark after a morning low of 92 degrees. This will most likely 
break the previous record warm min of 90 degrees...which was set in 
1996. Temperatures this afternoon have been running 3 to 4 degrees 
above those observed yesterday at this time. 


Global and convective allowing guidance remains in good agreement 
that thunderstorm activity will remain confined to the higher 
terrain through Thursday. Increase in moisture will knock about a 
degree off forecast temperatures...though heat will continue to be 
excessive and a warning will remain in effect through 8 PM. 


&& 


Previous discussion... 
monsoon moisture is expected to creep back into the area on Friday 
and by and large the forecast thinking has not changed for Friday 
through the weekend. Deeper moisture will lag a bit and is not 
expected to arrive in the deserts until this weekend. Probability of precipitation were 
increased a bit for Friday /still generally looking at slight 
chances/ but higher values seem warranted for Saturday and Sunday. 
Both the GFS and European indicate a trough moving through the area 
at 700-500mb Saturday afternoon/evening with middle level winds around 
20kts...MLCAPES around 1000 j/kg and mean bl mixing ratios around 
8-10 g/kg. If those values actually come to pass it could end up 
being quite active Saturday evening. Similar conditions are expected 
Sunday however it\s typically difficult to get back to back active 
days so my confidence in the weekend forecast is low...especially 
for Sunday. 


Looking down the Road to next week...southwest flow is expected to 
return to the area Monday/Tuesday...advecting somewhat drier air 
into the region from the west and once again resulting in decreased 
chances of precipitation along with increased temperatures. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central and southwest Arizona and southeast 
California...including kphx...kiwa...ksdl...kipl...and kblh... 


No aviation impacts through this evening as only few/scattered 
middle and high clouds develop mainly over high terrain removed from 
terminal sites. Largest forecast challenge will be timing of wind 
shifts...and much like the past 24 hours...typical directional 
changes may be delayed or absent. Even prolonged periods of variable 
winds will be possible...with peak winds generally at or below 12kt. 
Slightly better storm chances for Thursday afternoon/evening as humidity 
values start to climb. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Friday through Tuesday... 
the drier westerly flow aloft of midweek will be replaced by a more 
classical monsoonal southeast flow aloft...which will spread 
increasing moisture westward across the deserts Friday into the 
weekend. As this occurs the chances for afternoon and evening 
thunderstorms will increase from east to west each day. Humidity 
values will steadily increase with minimum values between 20 and 30 
percent expected across the deserts Saturday into the early part of 
next week. Correspondingly...high temperatures will fall 
off...dropping from around seasonal normals Friday to well below 
normal values on Sunday. Slight warming will return by next Tuesday 
as humidity values lower somewhat. Strong winds are not expected 
during the five day period...and they should typically favor south 
to southwest directions during the afternoon and evening hours. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...excessive heat warning from 10 am this morning to 8 PM MST 
Thursday azz020>023-025>028. 


California...excessive heat warning from 10 am this morning to 8 PM PDT 
Thursday caz031>033. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...Hirsch 
previous discussion...leins 
aviation...MO/cb 
fire weather...cumulonimbus 
















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