Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 97°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Variable 2 mph
  • Humidity: 23%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 53°
  • Pressure: 29.83 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
97°
95°
88°
84°
82°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 99 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 99 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 99 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 PM MST on September 21, 2014

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 99F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 99F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 99F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 100F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 100F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 95F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 73F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 1.1 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 93F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 66F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNE after midnight.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the WNW in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 64F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 82F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 84F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 86F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 100.6 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: SW at 3.5 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Mountain Vista Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:00 PM MST

Temperature: 99.3 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: WSW at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 98.8 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: South at 5.8 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:02 PM MST

Temperature: 99.4 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 98.9 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 98.1 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 99.5 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: East at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 99.4 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:07 PM MST

Temperature: 99.7 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: NW at 7.3 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 3:04 PM MST

Temperature: 100.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: NNE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 101.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: NW at 5.4 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 97.7 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 98.1 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: WNW at 4.6 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 99.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 99.0 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 97.6 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Fletcher Heights, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 100.0 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Peoria AZ, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 97.9 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NNW at 2.3 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: 83rd Ave & Pinnacle Peak Rd, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 98.1 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 11% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 93 °F Graphs

Location: PebbleCreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 99.0 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 10% Wind: WSW at 3.6 mph Pressure: 28.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 94 °F Graphs

Location: Pebblecreek, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 97.8 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: 107th and Campbell Ave, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 102.4 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 22% Wind: West at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Thunderbird Paseo, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 97.2 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 3% Wind: West at 5.6 mph Pressure: 28.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: Tuscany Falls, Goodyear, AZ

Updated: 3:10 PM MST

Temperature: 99.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: Calm Pressure: 31.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Santa Fe, Avondale, AZ

Updated: 3:08 PM MST

Temperature: 97.9 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Glendale Community College, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 3:09 PM MST

Temperature: 97.3 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.49 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
245 PM MST sun Sep 21 2014 


Synopsis... 
drier air will gradually filter into the region through middle week 
leading to drastic decline in storm chances. Slight chances for 
showers and thunderstorms will be confined to the higher mountains 
of south-central Arizona through Monday. Slightly above normal 
temperatures are anticipated through the middle of this week. An 
approaching Pacific weather system likely affecting the Desert 
Southwest on Friday and Saturday will lead to an increase in storm 
chances and cooler temperatures. 


&& 


Discussion... 
early afternoon radar imagery filling in with thunderstorms along 
the eastern half of Arizona in the White Mountains from Cochise 
County north through portions of Coconino County and northern 
portions of Mohave County. From southeast California through the 
East Valley of the greater Phoenix metropolitan mostly clear skies have 
been the story today with steady or falling dewpoint values. As of 
215 PM MST/PDT the dewpoint at Sky Harbor is sitting at 49f 
/9c/...so it is evident there is a boundary of dry air working into 
Arizona and slowly pushing east. Do not expect showers in the metropolitan 
area or central deserts this evening with a westerly flow and 
minimal moisture /1000-700 mb mixing ratios below 8 g/kg/. 


Gradual rising heights through most of the week...under a 591 dm 
ridge of high pressure and dominating westerly flow aloft...will 
allow temperatures to rise a degree or two each day by Thursday. 


For the extended part of the forecast later this week...a large 
Pacific trough will move on shore from the Gulf of Alaska bringing a 
cooler and drier air mass down through the Great Basin and into the 
Desert Southwest. Model run to run consistency has been decent with 
operational models in good agreement this far out in the extended. 
Minor differences in timing and strength...but the overall placement 
and timing looks good. Precipitation chances will begin a ramp up starting 
Friday afternoon through early Sunday...so made upward trend changes 
to the forecast at this time. By Sunday though models begin to 
drastically differ...with the GFS taking the trough eastward across 
The Rockies and the European model (ecmwf) keeping the cut off low centered over 
western Nevada with slow forward propagation. These differences 
could mean changes to precipitation for the southwest so confidence is 
pretty low that far out. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl...and 
southwest Arizona and southeast California including kipl and kblh... 


Mostly clear skies will prevail this evening/overnight as drier air 
overspreads the area. Expect light winds 10kt or less at all 
terminals through at least Monday afternoon. Any thunderstorm threat 
this afternoon/evening will remain over the higher terrain of 
eastern Arizona. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Wednesday through Sunday... 
moisture retreat due to westerly flow will keep storm chances 
minimal through Thursday and limited to the higher mountains of 
south-central Arizona. Meanwhile...temperatures nudge upward a few 
degrees above normal. Humidities on the lower deserts drop below 15 
percent though maximum humidities remain fair. No strong winds are 
expected during this time frame. On Friday...a Pacific weather 
system will pull moisture northward over the region for a return of 
storm chances into next weekend...mainly east of the lower Colorado 
River valley. In addition...cooler temperatures...higher 
humidities...and breezy to locally windy conditions can be expected 
as well. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


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Discussion...Dewey 
aviation...Meyers 
fire weather...Meyers/aj 



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