Surprise, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 88°
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wind: SSW 12 mph
  • Humidity: 38%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 59°
  • Pressure: 29.80 in. +
  • Heat Index: 87

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Next 12 Hours

6  am
9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
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84°
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98°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 99 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 102 °
  • Low: 82 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 105 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 105 °
  • Low: 79 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 103 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Surprise, Arizona

Updated: 2:02 AM MST on January 05, 2015

  • Sunday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 99F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms later during the night. Low 81F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday

    Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms in the morning. High 102F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 82F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mainly sunny. High near 105F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 81F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Plentiful sunshine. High around 105F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 79F. Winds SW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mainly sunny. High 103F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear skies. Low 77F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 102F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear skies. Low 77F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 103F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 81F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny skies. High around 105F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear skies. Low 82F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    A few clouds from time to time. High 111F. Winds W at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low around 85F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High 111F. E winds shifting to SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 84F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Sunny. High 109F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 84F. Winds WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Kingswood Parke, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:49 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: kingswood park, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:48 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:47 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Parc, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:49 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Bell West Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:47 AM MST

Temperature: 80.4 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:48 AM MST

Temperature: 86.5 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 87 °F Graphs

Location: Palm Ridge, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 5:49 AM MST

Temperature: 82.2 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:47 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Copper Canyon Ranch, Waddell, AZ

Updated: 5:48 AM MST

Temperature: 86.0 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Rancho Gabriela, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:49 AM MST

Temperature: 82.5 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City Grand The Manors, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:47 AM MST

Temperature: 82.8 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Sycamore Estates, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:45 AM MST

Temperature: 82.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City West, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 5:49 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Sun Dial I, El Mirage, AZ

Updated: 5:48 AM MST

Temperature: 82.8 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: West at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 82.0 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Surprise Farms, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Arizona Traditions, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:38 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Sarah Ann Ranch, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:39 AM MST

Temperature: 80.8 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City - Phase Two, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: North at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Crossriver, Sun City West, AZ

Updated: 5:47 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: South West Weather, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: 115th and Olive, Youngtown, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Sun City - W Pineridge / Kings Mtn, Sun City, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 84.6 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Wildlife World Zoo Area, Litchfield Park, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 85.5 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: West at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: WTF Pulte, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: SSE at 3.4 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Saguaro Manor,Luke AFB, Glendale, AZ

Updated: 5:36 AM MST

Temperature: 85.6 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: SW at 4.3 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Village, Peoria, AZ

Updated: 5:50 AM MST

Temperature: 84.6 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Oasis at Surprise, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:48 AM MST

Temperature: 84.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Saguaro View, Surprise, AZ

Updated: 5:39 AM MST

Temperature: 83.1 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: NW at 6.3 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
400 am MST sun Jul 5 2015 


Updated aviation section. 


Synopsis...a drier westerly flow is forecast to develop over the 
region the next several days...with most of the monsoon moisture 
being pushed into eastern Arizona by either Monday or Tuesday. 
However...a slight chance of afternoon and evening showers and 
thunderstorms will continue over the eastern Arizona mountains. 
Afternoon temperatures are also forecast near normal values through 
the upcoming week. 


&& 


Discussion... 


Today and tonight... 


Upper level flow was beginning to transition this morning from a 
south-southeast flow yesterday afternoon...Replete with a noticeable 
deformation zone along the eastern Arizona border...to a more laminar 
southwesterly flow this morning. 300-250 mb high centers near El 
Paso yesterday will shift toward The Big Bend Texas area this 
morning...resulting in increasing southwesterly flow aloft. These 
anti-cyclonic high centers will then shift to just north of Mazatlan 
Mexico by Monday...then move well offshore the remainder of the 
week. This will allow for a more drier and stable westerly flow 
across our forecast area...southeast California to south central Arizona during 
the upcoming work week. 


For today however...under increasing southwesterly flow aloft... 
models forecast a week upper level shortwave to move through south 
central Arizona this morning...although its hard to detect in water vapor 
imagery. Middle level clouds have been stratifying over the Phoenix 
and surrounding areas since midnight...perhaps a reflection broad 
scale weak vertical motion. Or stratification could be due to 
translating Gravity waves since both 00z and 03z Phoenix balloon 
soundings showed 2 noticeable inversions at 515 and 412 mb. 
Nonetheless we will keep a slight chance of showers and thunder- 
storms in the forecast through the morning hours. 


For the remainder of today and this evening...as the shortwave 
passes...the flow aloft becomes stronger from the southwest and is 
devoid of disturbances. Afternoon Thermo-dynamics will govern any 
convective developments today since convective trigger temperatures will be 
met...with most potential favoring the mountains north through 
southeast of Phoenix. Middle level convective steering currents also 
become southwesterly...so thunderstorm chances are slim for the greater 
Phoenix area. However there is an outside chance of convective 
outflows moving onto the lower deserts from the south or east... 
with some dust. 


Clearing skies tonight. 




Monday through Friday... 


As the 300/250 mb high centers move off the Baja California the remainder of 
the week...coupled with a strong eastern Pacific trough moving onshore 
Wednesday...stronger and drier westerly develops. Monsoon moisture 
will be slowly pushed into eastern Arizona by Tuesday with only a slight 
chance of storms over the mountains of southern Gila County zone 24 
the remainder of the week. 




Saturday and Sunday... 


Westerly flow aloft will weaken...and 300/250 mb high centers are 
forecast shift back toward El Paso by Saturday night. This 
indicates a return of monsoon moisture from Mexico first into 
Southeast Arizona Saturday...then across much of Arizona on Sunday. Slight 
chance of showers and thunderstorms however will remain over 
southern Gila County this period. 




$$ 


Aviation... south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...ksdl... 


Winds aloft to become southwesterly to westerly today and 
tonight...which is generally not favorable for moving storms into 
the lower deserts. Thus...even though the atmosphere will continue 
to be moist through the taf period...the chances for convective 
activity will likely remain low...with most storms remaining well to 
the north and east of the phx area taf sites. On the other 
hand...the still-moist atmosphere will allow scattered-broken middle-high level 
ceilings to continue to affect the terminals through the taf 
period...but with ceilings remaining mainly at or above 10k feet. Winds will 
remain mainly out of a westerly direction through the taf 
period...except at kiwa...where a brief period of light easterly 
winds could develop during the early morning hours. There is also a 
slight chance that outflows from distant thunderstorms could affect 
the terminals later this afternoon/evening...but confidence is far 
too low to include in the tafs at this time. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Mainly clear skies...with just some few-scattered cirrus layers passing 
overhead from time-to-time through the taf period. Winds to mainly 
follow typical diurnal trends at kipl...and remain mainly out of a 
southerly direction at kblh...with some afternoon breeziness 
possible. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Tuesday through Saturday... 
atmospheric flow will become more westerly/southwesterly next 
week...allowing deep moisture and thunderstorm chances to be 
displaced well to the east of Phoenix over higher terrain locations. 
Even the typically active regions in southern Gila County may lack 
thunderstorm development and coverage for much of the week. 
Afternoon humidity level will retreat back into a 10-15 percent 
range across lower elevations with fair to good overnight recovery. 
Higher humidity values will be experienced in mountain locations. 
Generally light and diurnally driven winds speeds and directions 
will predominate all week...with somewhat more afternoon upslope 
gustiness than is typical during monsoon season. 


&& 


Spotter information statement... 
spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather conditions 
according to Standard operating procedures. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arizona...none. 
California...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...vasquez 
aviation...percha 
fire weather...MO 



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