Queen Creek, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 75°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: ESE 17 mph
  • Humidity: 83%
  • Visibility: 20.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 70°
  • Pressure: 29.96 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

12  am
3  am
6  am
9  am
12  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
76°
79°
79°
87°
95°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 102 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 99 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 92 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Queen Creek, Arizona

Updated: 8:05 PM MST on January 31, 2015

  • Monday

    Thunderstorms early. Lows overnight in the upper 70s.

  • Monday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms early, then partly cloudy after midnight. Low 78F. Winds ESE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High 102F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 77F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High near 100F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 77F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 99F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with late night showers or thunderstorms. Low 74F. Winds SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Cloudy skies late. High 92F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Friday Night

    Cloudy skies early followed by scattered showers and thunderstorms later during the night. Low 72F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Mostly sunny skies. High near 95F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low around 75F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 99F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low 76F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 99F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low 76F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly sunny skies. High near 100F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 77F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 99F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 76F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday

    Sunny. High 101F. Winds light and variable.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low 77F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Areal Flood Warning, Flash Flood Warning  Statement as of 10:42 PM MST on August 31, 2015


The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
northeastern Maricopa County in south central Arizona...

* until 145 am MST

* at 1040 PM MST... Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
up to two inches of rain had fallen over the area. Flooding had
been occurring... with several roads still closed due to high
standing water.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Phoenix... Sky Harbor Airport... Arizona state Fairgrounds and
downtown Phoenix.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause ponding of water in
urban areas... highways... streets and underpasses as well as other
poor drainage areas and low lying spots. Do not attempt to travel
across flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few
inches of swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross
safely. Move to higher ground.


Lat... Lon 3343 11198 3344 11207 3346 11212 3348 11213
      3351 11211 3351 11203 3346 11196


18


1025 PM MST Mon Aug 31 2015

... The Flash Flood Warning remains in effect until midnight MST for
northeastern Maricopa County...

At 1023 PM MST... Doppler radar indicated heavy rain has ended across
the warned area. However... radar and observations indicated up to
one inch of rain has fallen. Flooding has been reported along
Highway 51.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Phoenix... Paradise Valley and piestewa peak park.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Turn around... dont drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.


Lat... Lon 3359 11197 3355 11194 3351 11199 3350 11206
      3351 11211 3356 11209 3360 11203


18


1018 PM MST Mon Aug 31 2015

... The Flash Flood Warning remains in effect until 1115 PM MST for
eastern Maricopa County...

At 1014 PM MST... Doppler radar indicated lingering isolated showers
across the warned area. Radar and observations indicate over an inch
of rain had fallen... and flash flooding is occurring with Road
closures.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Phoenix... Tempe... Arizona State University... Papago Park... Sky Harbor
Airport and downtown Phoenix.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Turn around... dont drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.


Lat... Lon 3347 11196 3346 11192 3341 11193 3340 11199
      3345 11209 3346 11206 3351 11206 3351 11201


18




 Areal Flood Advisory  Statement as of 9:20 PM MST on August 31, 2015


... The Flood Advisory remains in effect until 1100 PM MST for eastern
Maricopa County...

At 918 PM MST... Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms with heavy
rain beginning to weaken over the area. However... up to one inch of
rain had fallen in less than an hour... and minor flooding is
likely in the advisory area.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Phoenix... Tempe... Sky Harbor Airport and downtown Phoenix.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams... and ponding of water in urban areas...
highways... streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage
areas and low lying spots.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross
safely. Move to higher ground.


Lat... Lon 3347 11196 3341 11196 3340 11203 3344 11209
      3349 11207


18



 Local Storm Report 



08/31/2015 0755 PM

2 miles WNW of Tempe Market, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Numerous large trees down along Scottsdale Rd south of
            mckellips





08/31/2015 0755 PM

2 miles WNW of Tempe Market, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Numerous large trees down along Scottsdale Rd south of
            mckellips





08/31/2015 0753 PM

2 miles WNW of Tempe Market, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Numerous large trees down near 68th and mckellips





08/31/2015 0753 PM

2 miles WNW of Tempe Market, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Numerous large trees down near 68th and mckellips





08/31/2015 0755 PM

2 miles NE of downtown scot, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Power lines down at Chaparral and 86th St.





08/31/2015 0755 PM

2 miles NE of downtown scot, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Power lines down at Chaparral and 86th St.





08/31/2015 0750 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed streetlight pole on College Ave just N of Curry





08/31/2015 0750 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed streetlight pole on College Ave just N of Curry





08/31/2015 0735 PM

1 miles WNW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Billboard blown down at grand Ave and Encanto





08/31/2015 0735 PM

1 miles WNW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Billboard blown down at grand Ave and Encanto





08/31/2015 0735 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Trees down across 7th St at Roosevelt





08/31/2015 0735 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Trees down across 7th St at Roosevelt





08/31/2015 0940 PM

1 miles WNW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Billboard blown down at grand Ave and Encanto





08/31/2015 0940 PM

1 miles WNW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Billboard blown down at grand Ave and Encanto





08/31/2015 0903 PM

2 miles NE of downtown scot, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Power lines down at Chaparral and 86th St.





08/31/2015 0903 PM

2 miles NE of downtown scot, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Power lines down at Chaparral and 86th St.





08/31/2015 0852 PM

3 miles SW of Camelback mou, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Trees down on 40th St between Indian school and Thomas





08/31/2015 0852 PM

3 miles SW of Camelback mou, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Trees down on 40th St between Indian school and Thomas





08/31/2015 0901 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed streetlight pole on College Ave just N of Curry





08/31/2015 0901 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed streetlight pole on College Ave just N of Curry





08/31/2015 0830 PM

2 miles NE of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e60 mph, reported by amateur radio.


            Estimated 60 mph wind in central Mesa





08/31/2015 0830 PM

2 miles NE of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e60 mph, reported by amateur radio.


            Estimated 60 mph wind in central Mesa





08/31/2015 0820 PM

1 miles NNE of downtown pho, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by broadcast media.


            Deck park Tunnel flooded. Numerous drivers stranded in
            Tunnel





08/31/2015 0820 PM

1 miles NNE of downtown pho, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by broadcast media.


            Deck park Tunnel flooded. Numerous drivers stranded in
            Tunnel





08/31/2015 0831 PM

4 miles NNW of Sky Harbor a, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Curb to curb street flooding at 22nd St and Osborn Rd





08/31/2015 0831 PM

4 miles NNW of Sky Harbor a, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Curb to curb street flooding at 22nd St and Osborn Rd





08/31/2015 0830 PM

1 miles SSW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed trees and shingles blown off roofs at mill Ave
            and Broadway Rd





08/31/2015 0830 PM

1 miles SSW of Arizona stat, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Downed trees and shingles blown off roofs at mill Ave
            and Broadway Rd





08/31/2015 0826 PM

3 miles NNE of Paradise val, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Tree fell on car at Scottsdale Rd and Shea Blvd





08/31/2015 0825 PM

2 miles W of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by broadcast media.


            Driver stranded due to flooding 48th St and Van Buren





08/31/2015 0825 PM

2 miles W of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by broadcast media.


            Driver stranded due to flooding 48th St and Van Buren





08/31/2015 0809 PM

2 miles SW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Numerous trees down at 27th Ave and Van Buren





08/31/2015 0809 PM

2 miles SW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Numerous trees down at 27th Ave and Van Buren





08/31/2015 0757 PM

2 miles N of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated 55 mph wind tree uprooted





08/31/2015 0757 PM

2 miles N of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated 55 mph wind tree uprooted





08/31/2015 0817 PM

Arizona state univ, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.25 inch, reported by public.


            Pea sized hail at asu





08/31/2015 0817 PM

Arizona state univ, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.25 inch, reported by public.


            Pea sized hail at asu





08/31/2015 0816 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Downed power poles and power lines laying atop houses
            at 17th Ave and Thomas





08/31/2015 0816 PM

1 miles N of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Downed power poles and power lines laying atop houses
            at 17th Ave and Thomas





08/31/2015 0815 PM

2 miles ENE of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by broadcast media.


            Wind 50 mph gusts to 65 mph at 74th St. And McDowell





08/31/2015 0815 PM

2 miles ENE of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by broadcast media.


            Wind 50 mph gusts to 65 mph at 74th St. And McDowell





08/31/2015 0834 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Trees down across 7th St at Roosevelt





08/31/2015 0834 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Trees down across 7th St at Roosevelt





08/31/2015 0804 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            4 inches of water on I-10 at 7th St.





08/31/2015 0804 PM

1 miles NE of downtown phoe, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            4 inches of water on I-10 at 7th St.





08/31/2015 0802 PM

2 miles W of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Trees down along University between loop 202 and priest





08/31/2015 0802 PM

2 miles W of Arizona state , Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            Trees down along University between loop 202 and priest





08/31/2015 0806 PM

1 miles NW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain e0.50 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Curb to curb street flooding mill Ave and 5th St





08/31/2015 0806 PM

1 miles NW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain e0.50 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Curb to curb street flooding mill Ave and 5th St





08/31/2015 0805 PM

1 miles NW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.25 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Pea sized hail mill Ave and 5th St.





08/31/2015 0806 PM

Arizona state univ, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.25 inch, reported by trained spotter.






08/31/2015 0806 PM

Arizona state univ, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.25 inch, reported by trained spotter.






08/31/2015 0800 PM

2 miles N of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.






08/31/2015 0800 PM

2 miles N of Papago Park, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.






08/31/2015 0758 PM

1 miles NW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Trained spotter reports sustained 65 mph wind at
            Roosevelt and ist St in Tempe





08/31/2015 0758 PM

1 miles NW of Arizona state, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Trained spotter reports sustained 65 mph wind at
            Roosevelt and ist St in Tempe





08/31/2015 0742 PM

6 miles NNW of Guadalupe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m61 mph, reported by ASOS.






08/31/2015 0742 PM

6 miles NNW of Guadalupe, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m61 mph, reported by ASOS.






08/30/2015 0600 PM

4 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated at 40 to 50 mph and fleeting dense dust.




08/30/2015 0627 PM

2 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mountaatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            300 pound grill blown over and measured 1.75 in. Of
            rain.




08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mountath mountaatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Pharmacy wall blown down... 2 horse stables
            destroyed... telephone pole snapped in Laveen near 27th
            Dr. And Cheyenne.




08/30/2015 0646 PM

Gila Bend, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Power lines snapped and power outage.




08/30/2015 0745 PM

Laveen, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by trained spotter.


            Dobbins betwwen 43rd Ave and 23rd Ave with 2 to 4 in.
            Deep water... some flowing and some ponding.




08/30/2015 0747 PM

4 miles ESE of Chandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust M59 mph, reported by AWOS.





08/30/2015 0801 PM

1 miles SW of tumbleweed pandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            6 in. Diameter tree snapped.





08/30/2015 0600 PM

4 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated at 40 to 50 mph and fleeting dense dust.




08/30/2015 0627 PM

2 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mountaatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            300 pound grill blown over and measured 1.75 in. Of
            rain.




08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mountath mountaatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Pharmacy wall blown down... 2 horse stables
            destroyed... telephone pole snapped in Laveen near 27th
            Dr. And Cheyenne.




08/30/2015 0646 PM

Gila Bend, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Power lines snapped and power outage.




08/30/2015 0745 PM

Laveen, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by trained spotter.


            Dobbins betwwen 43rd Ave and 23rd Ave with 2 to 4 in.
            Deep water... some flowing and some ponding.




08/30/2015 0747 PM

4 miles ESE of Chandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust M59 mph, reported by AWOS.





08/30/2015 0801 PM

1 miles SW of tumbleweed pandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            6 in. Diameter tree snapped.





08/30/2015 0801 PM

1 miles SW of tumbleweed PA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            6 in. Diameter tree snapped.





08/30/2015 0801 PM

1 miles SW of tumbleweed PA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            6 in. Diameter tree snapped.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mounta, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Pharmacy wall blown down... 2 horse stables
            destroyed... telephone pole snapped in Laveen near 27th
            Dr. And Cheyenne.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mounta, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Pharmacy wall blown down... 2 horse stables
            destroyed... telephone pole snapped in Laveen near 27th
            Dr. And Cheyenne.





08/30/2015 0747 PM

4 miles ESE of Chandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust M59 mph, reported by AWOS.






08/30/2015 0747 PM

4 miles ESE of Chandler, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust M59 mph, reported by AWOS.






08/30/2015 0745 PM

Laveen, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by trained spotter.


            Dobbins betwwen 43rd Ave and 23rd Ave with 2 to 4 in.
            Deep water... some flowing and some ponding.





08/30/2015 0745 PM

Laveen, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by trained spotter.


            Dobbins betwwen 43rd Ave and 23rd Ave with 2 to 4 in.
            Deep water... some flowing and some ponding.





08/30/2015 0600 PM

4 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated at 40 to 50 mph and fleeting dense dust.





08/30/2015 0600 PM

4 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated at 40 to 50 mph and fleeting dense dust.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mounta, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            300 pound grill blown over and measured 1.75 in. Of
            rain.





08/30/2015 0630 PM

3 miles WNW of south mounta, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e65 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            300 pound grill blown over and measured 1.75 in. Of
            rain.





08/30/2015 0646 PM

Gila Bend, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Power lines snapped and power outage.





08/30/2015 0646 PM

Gila Bend, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            Power lines snapped and power outage.





08/30/2015 0627 PM

2 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.






08/30/2015 0627 PM

2 miles NNE of Komatke, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.






08/29/2015 0945 PM

2 miles E of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.12 inch, reported by NWS employee.






08/29/2015 0945 PM

2 miles E of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.12 inch, reported by NWS employee.






08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.40 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 37 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.




08/29/2015 0919 PM

1 miles WNW of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Major ponding of water on southern and Dobson in
            Maricopa County.





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            And 0.25 in. Hail




08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            21 in. Diameter tree uprooted.




08/29/2015 0658 PM

2 miles ESE of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.50 inch, reported by NWS employee.


            And estimated wind gust to 40 mph




08/29/2015 0749 PM

San tan Village mape, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            2 trees uprooted and snapped and 0.25 in. Hail and
            heavy rainfall




08/29/2015 0800 PM

2 miles WSW of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            5 to 6 power lines blown down... 0.5 in. Hail and tiles
            in the Road




08/29/2015 0817 PM

2 miles W of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by NWS employee.


            NWS employee reported flooding on the roadway on
            Broadway between Lindsay and Gilbert. Also at this
            location... there was pea size hail reported and winds
            were approximately 50 to 60 kts.




08/29/2015 0835 PM

2 miles se of Chandler fasha, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m51 mph, reported by mesonet.





08/29/2015 0845 PM

4 miles se of tumbleweed padler fasha, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Near Gilbert Rd. And E. Ocotillo Rd.




08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.40 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 37 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.




08/29/2015 0919 PM

1 miles WNW of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Major ponding of water on southern and Dobson in
            Maricopa County.





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            And 0.25 in. Hail




08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            21 in. Diameter tree uprooted.




08/29/2015 0658 PM

2 miles ESE of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.50 inch, reported by NWS employee.


            And estimated wind gust to 40 mph




08/29/2015 0749 PM

San tan Village mape, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            2 trees uprooted and snapped and 0.25 in. Hail and
            heavy rainfall




08/29/2015 0800 PM

2 miles WSW of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            5 to 6 power lines blown down... 0.5 in. Hail and tiles
            in the Road




08/29/2015 0817 PM

2 miles W of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by NWS employee.


            NWS employee reported flooding on the roadway on
            Broadway between Lindsay and Gilbert. Also at this
            location... there was pea size hail reported and winds
            were approximately 50 to 60 kts.




08/29/2015 0835 PM

2 miles se of Chandler fasha, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m51 mph, reported by mesonet.





08/29/2015 0845 PM

4 miles se of tumbleweed padler fasha, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Near Gilbert Rd. And E. Ocotillo Rd.




08/29/2015 0919 PM

1 miles WNW of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Major ponding of roadway on southern and Dobson in
            Maricopa County.





08/29/2015 0919 PM

1 miles WNW of fiesta mall, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by public.


            Major ponding of roadway on southern and Dobson in
            Maricopa County.





08/29/2015 0835 PM

2 miles se of Chandler fash, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m51 mph, reported by mesonet.






08/29/2015 0835 PM

2 miles se of Chandler fash, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust m51 mph, reported by mesonet.






08/29/2015 0845 PM

4 miles se of tumbleweed PA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Near Gilbert Rd. And E. Ocotillo Rd.





08/29/2015 0845 PM

4 miles se of tumbleweed PA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            Near Gilbert Rd. And E. Ocotillo Rd.





08/29/2015 0749 PM

San tan Village MA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            2 trees uprooted and snapped and 0.25 in. Hail and
            heavy rainfall





08/29/2015 0749 PM

San tan Village MA, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            2 trees uprooted and snapped and 0.25 in. Hail and
            heavy rainfall





08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.40 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 37 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.





08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.40 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 37 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.





08/29/2015 0817 PM

2 miles W of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by NWS employee.


            NWS employee reported flooding on the roadway on
            Broadway between Lindsay and Gilbert. Also at this
            location... there was pea size hail reported and winds
            were approximately 50 to 60 kts.





08/29/2015 0817 PM

2 miles W of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Flood, reported by NWS employee.


            NWS employee reported flooding on the roadway on
            Broadway between Lindsay and Gilbert. Also at this
            location... there was pea size hail reported and winds
            were approximately 50 to 60 kts.





08/29/2015 0800 PM

2 miles WSW of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            5 to 6 power lines blown down... 0.5 in. Hail and tiles
            in the Road





08/29/2015 0800 PM

2 miles WSW of Mesa, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            5 to 6 power lines blown down... 0.5 in. Hail and tiles
            in the Road





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            21 in. Diameter tree uprooted.





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


            21 in. Diameter tree uprooted.





08/29/2015 0658 PM

2 miles ESE of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.50 inch, reported by NWS employee.


            And estimated wind gust to 40 mph





08/29/2015 0658 PM

2 miles ESE of Tempe, Maricopa County.

Hail e0.50 inch, reported by NWS employee.


            And estimated wind gust to 40 mph





08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.00 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 40 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.





08/29/2015 0640 PM

2 miles NW of Seville, Maricopa County.

Heavy rain m1.00 inch, reported by trained spotter.


            Estimated to have fallen in 40 minutes and thunderstorm
            wind gust measured at 45 mph.





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            And 0.25 in. Hail





08/29/2015 0645 PM

2 miles E of Ahwatukee, Maricopa County.

Thunderstorm wind gust e50 mph, reported by trained spotter.


            And 0.25 in. Hail




 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 9:00 PM MST on August 31, 2015


... Phoenix and surrounding areas rainfall reports...

                                                      rainfall (in)
location 1 hr 24 hr
acdc @ 14th St. Phoenix 0.67 0.71
acdc @ 36th St. Paradise Valley 0.28 0.43
Ahwatukee Phoenix 0.08 0.08
asu south Tempe 0.83 0.91
berneil wash Paradise Valley 0.04 0.04
Carriage Lane Park Mesa 0.28 0.31
Chandler @ Alma school Chandler 0.12 0.12
Chandler Airport Chandler 0.04 0.04
Dreamy Draw dam Phoenix 0.71 0.71
Durango complex Phoenix 0.08 0.31
emf @ Arizona Ave. Pinal County 0.04 0.04
emf @ Broadway Maricopa County 0.98 0.98
Estrella fan Maricopa County 0.00 0.08
Falcon Field Mesa 0.12 0.12
fig Springs Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Fitch Park Mesa 0.12 0.12
Freestone basin Gilbert 0.39 0.39
Gateway c.College Phoenix 0.35 1.22
Gila @ Maricopa Rd Gila River ic 0.00 0.08
Golden Eagle Blvd. Fountain Hills 0.00 0.04
grand @ 27th Ave. Phoenix 0.08 0.98
Granite reef Maricopa County 0.08 0.08
Granite reef wash Scottsdale 0.43 0.43
Guadalupe channel Mesa 0.12 0.12
Guadalupe frs Phoenix 0.04 0.08
Hesperus wash Fountain Hills 0.00 0.08
Highland @ 68th St. Scottsdale 0.16 0.16
I-17 @ sr 169 Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
ibw @ Indian Bend Rd. Scottsdale 0.12 0.12
ibw @ Indian school Scottsdale 0.67 0.67
ibw @ mckellips Rd. Scottsdale 0.55 0.55
ibw @ Shea Blvd. Phoenix 0.28 0.28
ibw interceptor Scottsdale 0.08 0.08
Jefferson @ 4th Ave. Phoenix 0.24 0.94
Kleinman Park Mesa 0.35 0.35
lake marguarite Scottsdale 0.08 0.08
Lake Pleasant Peoria 0.20 0.20
Laveen basin Phoenix 0.00 0.28
Magma frs Pinal County 0.00 0.31
Maryland @ 27th Ave. Phoenix 0.00 0.04
McDowell mtn. Park Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Mesa tower Mesa 0.04 0.04
Missouri @ 16th St. Phoenix 0.47 0.71
Mobile Maricopa County 0.00 0.12
New River fire Maricopa County 0.00 0.12
New River landfill Maricopa County 0.31 0.31
North Heights dam Fountain Hills 0.00 0.04
old x-cut @ McDowell Phoenix 0.47 1.22
Osborn @ 64th St. Scottsdale 0.51 0.51
Papago Park Phoenix 0.47 1.30
Paradise Valley cc Paradise Valley 0.31 0.31
Pecos basin Maricopa County 0.04 0.04
Perry Park Phoenix 0.67 1.26
Pinnacle Peak Vista Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
powerline frs Pinal County 0.16 0.16
price drain @ 202 Mesa 0.35 0.39
roeser @ 2nd St. Phoenix 0.04 0.28
Saguaro Lake Maricopa County 0.16 0.16
salt r. @ 40th St. Phoenix 0.04 0.24
Salt River @ 67th Ave. Phoenix 0.00 0.43
Salt River landfill Salt River ic 0.59 0.59
Santa Cruz @ sr 84 Pinal County 0.12 0.20
Signal Butte frs Maricopa County 0.04 0.04
South Mountain Park Phoenix 0.04 0.47
south mtn.Park hq Phoenix 0.00 0.20
spookhill mckellips Maricopa County 0.08 0.08
sunup ranch Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
tat momolikot dam Pinal County 0.00 0.08
Tatum basin inflow Phoenix 0.51 0.51
Thomas @ 16th St. Phoenix 0.39 0.51
Thomas @ 48th St. Phoenix 0.39 0.71
Thompson Peak Scottsdale 0.00 0.24
towers mtn. Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
vekol wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Vineyard frs Pinal County 0.16 0.16
Waterman wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.20
Weekes wash baseline Apache Junction 0.20 0.20
Williams Field Road Maricopa County 0.00 0.04

These rainfall amounts are preliminary and are not official.
Automated gauge data are from the Maricopa County flood
control district. Stations with no recorded precipitation
are not shown.


Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Villages, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: East at 4.2 mph Pressure: 28.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Villages At Queen Creek, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Nauvoo Station, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:52 PM MST

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Circle G, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: West at 6.3 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Crismon Ranch Estates, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:41 PM MST

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: East at 6.9 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: The Pecans, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:44 PM MST

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Pegasus Airpark, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:48 PM MST

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: South at 22.7 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Treats in Queen Creek, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:30 PM MST

Temperature: 74.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: ENE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Rural QC, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 82.2 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.47 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Trilogy at Power Ranch, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: SE at 7.8 mph Pressure: 28.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: West Empire Boulevard, San Tan Valley, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Seville, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 78.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Power Ranch - Mt. View Neighborhood, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 76.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: ENE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Chandler Heights, AZ, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: West at 12.8 mph Pressure: 28.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: San Tan Heights, San Tan Valley, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: NNE at 19.0 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: North McKenzie Road, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 78.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Coronado Ranch, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Seville Golf and Country Club, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: ESE at 19.0 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Chandler Hts. Recker and Hunt, AZ

Updated: 10:42 PM MST

Temperature: 75.3 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: ESE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: The Willows at Power Ranch, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:52 PM MST

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: NE at 7.8 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: San Tan Heights, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Circle Cross Ranch, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:44 PM MST

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.07 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Shamrock Estates, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: East at 17.0 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Seville West, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: NE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: San Tan Valley (Combs HS), San Tan Valley, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: East at 19.7 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: San Tan Heights, Queen Creek, AZ

Updated: 10:52 PM MST

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SE at 5.6 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: San Tan Elementary School, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: SE at 17.4 mph Pressure: 28.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Greenfield and Queen Creek, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 77.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: ESE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Bella Via, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: SE at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Pecos Park, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:46 PM MST

Temperature: 74.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: ESE at 7.8 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Johnson Ranch Sterling, San Tan Valley, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SE at 7.3 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Higley/Frye, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:30 PM MST

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Johnson Ranch, San Tan Valley, AZ

Updated: 10:53 PM MST

Temperature: 71.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 10:34 PM MST

Temperature: 76 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: South 148th Street, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 81.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Destiny at Layton lakes, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:45 PM MST

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: SE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 28.57 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:29 PM MST

Temperature: 78 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: ESE at 17 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Gilbert Ranch, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 10:50 PM MST

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: ESE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Valencia, Chandler, AZ

Updated: 10:46 PM MST

Temperature: 77.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: NNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
1025 PM MST Monday Aug 31 2015 


Synopsis... 
showers and thunderstorms will trend down from west to east the rest 
of the night. Lingering storm chances will continue east of the lower 
Colorado River valley Tuesday through Thursday. Moisture is expected 
to increase late in the week with with storm chances over a broader 
area Friday through the weekend. A gradual cooling trend is also 
anticipated this week through Thursday. 


&& 


Discussion... 
isolated weak storms late this afternoon near and south of the 
estrellas quickly blew up into much more over metropolitan Phoenix. The 
initial strong storm produced a downburst over the estrellas. Then an 
even stronger subsequent storm from that outflow blew up near the 
state Fairgrounds. Those combined outflows in addition to outflows from 
Pinal County...initially south of Florence...as well as Gila County 
have helped to create widespread showers and thunderstorms across 
northeast Maricopa County and Pinal County. With a westerly component 
to the steering flow...storms are generally moving to the east but 
boundary interactions are aiding isolated redevelopment in areas 
that already had storm activity. Despite an environment that had 
modest precipitable water and surface dew points...storms have been 
able to produce flash flooding. As of this writing...the activity has 
ended for much of the metropolitan area with northern and eastern periphery 
still lingering but more action over northern Pinal County. This will 
largely settle down by midnight. It remains to be seen how the mesoscale convective system 
over Sonora influences things late tonight. Hrrr has been indicating 
late night development associated with that system but it has not 
handled tonight/S activity very well. Steering flow should keep 
debris clouds from being too thick but surface dew points look like 
they should increase Tuesday...especially over southwest Arizona. 
Tonight/S activity should leave behind fairly stable conditions for 
Tuesday. But with moisture available and perhaps activity over 
southwest Arizona...south-central Arizona may have another 
opportunity for storms Tuesday. Lots more for the night shift to 
evaluate. 


&& 


Previous discussion issued 233 PM... 
latest streamline analysis shows that the ridge has drifted slightly 
to the east...but overall very little has changed synoptically over 
the past few days. Interesting to note that the ncar ensemble picked 
up on the morning activity across Gila County and consequently more 
weight was assigned to this guidance through the evening. 


Other convective allowing guidance continues to suggest that 
isolated/scattered thunderstorms will again develop across the 
Phoenix area and points eastward this evening...aided by sufficient 
low-level moisture...boundary propagation from the south and 
relatively cool temperatures aloft associated with a trough to the 
west. Latest acars soundings show that steering flow has veered 
slightly to the southwest...which at least conceptually should focus 
activity somewhat further east than in previous nights. A warm layer 
near 700 mb is also evident...which is likely resulting in 
considerable convective inhibition and mostly clear skies across the 
Phoenix area. 


U of a wrfs have performed well the past few evenings and again 
indicate that scattered activity is possible across the Phoenix area. 
Forecast probability of precipitation were increased to 20-30 percent across portions of 
south-central Arizona for tonight. Most areas will not see measurable 
rainfall...though lightning...gusty winds and areas of blowing dust 
are more probable. 


Forecast confidence Tuesday through Thursday is low. Deterministic 
guidance taken at face value would suggest a downward trend in storms 
through middle week...however probabilistic tools suggest the bl will 
remain moist with modest instability across the region. Of course the 
missing ingredient is a trigger to kick off storms in the first place 
and none of the deterministic guidance indicate much in the way of 
inverted troughs or larger scale features. Will hang onto somewhat 
elevated probability of precipitation /higher than climatology/ through middle week on the premise 
that storms will be triggered by colliding outflows. 


Forecast confidence isn't much higher later in the forecast period. 
It would appear that moisture will be drawn into the region from the 
tropics late in the week /Friday-Saturday/ although exactly where 
this axis of deepest moisture resides is still up for debate. 
00z deterministic GFS and European model (ecmwf) suggest anomalously high precipitable waters  and 
mixing ratios will overspread much of the Desert Southwest whereas 
gefs and naefs keep this moisture south of the international border 
and shift it toward the Arizona/nm border. Given the magnitude of the 
700-300mb flow during this time period /around 30-40kts/...i'm 
skeptical the moisture will remain confined to the border and points 
south. Dewpoints have been bumped up late in the week and probability of precipitation have 
also been elevated a bit over inherited values /more in line with 
climo/. Could end up seeing elevated rain chances late in the week 
into the weekend...but could just as easily see increase cloud cover 
and dry conditions depending on where the moisture axis positions 
itself. Thus confidence in precipitation chances is low. Fairly high 
confidence in lower temperatures late in the week with some of the 
raw unable-corrected guidance pointing to highs in the upper 90s. Lowered 
temperatures a few degrees from Friday Onward accordingly. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl... 


Main band of storms as of 05z is shifting eastward out of the metropolitan 
Phoenix area but isolated redevelopment continues. Anticipate most of 
the activity over the lower deserts will dissipate by 07z-08z. 
East and southeast surface winds should predominate rest of night and 
well into the day Tuesday. 


Southeast California/southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Anticipate clear skies except for some very minor cirrus. Typical 
warm season wind patterns will prevail...though the favored daytime 
south and southeast winds may be a bit stronger than usual Tuesday. 
Also anticipate some isolated storms over southwest Arizona Tuesday 
afternoon. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Wednesday through Sunday... 
a low pressure system across the Pacific northwest will displace the 
monsoon high slightly to the south and east through the week. The 
trend will be towards cooler conditions across the Desert Southwest 
with high temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals each 
day. However sufficient moisture will linger across eastern Arizona 
to keep at least a slight chance for thunderstorms from Phoenix east 
Wednesday into Thursday. Minimum relative humidity values will fall below 15 
percent Wednesday and Thursday across southeast California with 
values above 15 percent expected east of the lower Colorado River. 
For Friday into the weekend...latest guidance more insistent upon a 
return to deeper moisture...higher humidity and better rain 
chances...particularly across south central Arizona. 


&& 


Spotter information statement... 
spotters are encouraged to report conditions according to Standard 
operating procedures. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arizona...none. 
California...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...aj 
previous discussion...Hirsch/leins 
aviation...aj 
fire weather...cb/Hirsch 






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