Paradise Valley, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Areal Flood Watch View All Alerts

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Current Conditions

  • 60°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: SE 4 mph
  • Humidity: 62%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 47°
  • Pressure: 29.94 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
57°
63°
66°
68°
66°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 59 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Paradise Valley, Arizona

Updated: 8:00 AM MST on March 01, 2015

Flood Watch in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM MST Monday...
  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 68F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with rain showers. Low of 55F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers. High of 59F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with rain showers, then a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW in the afternoon.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the East at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the WSW in the afternoon.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Areal Flood Watch  Statement as of 2:51 am MST on March 1, 2015


... Flood Watch remains in effect from this afternoon through Monday
afternoon...

The Flood Watch continues for

* portions of east-central Arizona... south-central Arizona and west-
central Arizona... including the following areas... in east-central
Arizona... southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest foothills. In
south-central Arizona... greater Phoenix area and northwest
Maricopa County. In west-central Arizona... west central deserts.

* From this afternoon through Monday afternoon

* the time-frame for heaviest rainfall will begin across southwest
Arizona midday Sunday and will spread through the region
throughout the Sunday evening and overnight... eventually tapering
off from west to east during the day Monday. Rainfall amounts will
generally range from 0.75 inches to 1 inch along and north of
Interstate 10 and U.S. 60... with isolated areas closer to 2 inches
possible in the mountains north and east of Phoenix.

* The rainfall and runoff will lead to heightened flows in New
River... skunk creek and Deadmans Wash near anthem... but also Cave
Creek and Camp Creek... Sycamore Creek near Sunflower... and tonto
and Pinal creek that flow into the Tonto Basin near Roosevelt
Lake. Centennial Wash near Wenden could also see elevated flow.
Many other normally dry washes in the watch area will quickly fill
with runoff and may inundate low water and unbridged Road
crossings.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood
warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.


Stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts by listening to weather
radio on the public service band. More detailed information is
available from the National Weather Service in Phoenix on the
internet at

Weather.Gov/Phoenix







Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Mummy Mountain Estates, Paradise Valley, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 59.5 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Camelhead, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 60.5 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: ENE at 1.3 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Fanfol Estates, Paradise Valley, AZ

Updated: 7:54 AM MST

Temperature: 58.7 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.55 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Paradise Valley Village, Paradise Valley, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 57.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Paradise Valley Village, Paradise Valley, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 58.6 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Paradise Gardens, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 60.3 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Dateland Palms, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 60.8 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: South Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 58.5 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Cavalier Estates, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 59.7 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Camelback East Village, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 59.4 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Piestewa Peak and Lincoln Blvd, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 61.1 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: ENE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Equestrian Manor, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 7:54 AM MST

Temperature: 57.1 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Hacienda Del Campo, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 61.9 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: South Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 63.3 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Star Of Paradise, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 58.5 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Camelback East Village, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Biltmore, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 61.5 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Spur Circle, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 61.0 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: AZCC, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 60.5 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Scottsdale - Old Town, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 7:55 AM MST

Temperature: 60.3 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Shea Heights, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 7:57 AM MST

Temperature: 58.3 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Shea Heights 85028, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 58.3 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: North Mountain, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 60.6 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: La Buena Vida Townhouses, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 53.2 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: North at - Pressure: 27.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: La Buena Vida Townhouses, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 57.0 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.21 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Cambridge Ave., Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 7:53 AM MST

Temperature: 59.9 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: 60th St. and Thunderbird Rd., Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 7:53 AM MST

Temperature: 58.8 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: SSE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Sherwood Estates, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: East at 1.6 mph Pressure: 28.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Central Scottsdale, AZ, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 59.8 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Northeast Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 57.8 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: SE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Phoenix AZ US, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 7:32 AM MST

Temperature: 62 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: SE at 3 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Camelback East Village, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 60.8 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Paper Street, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:02 AM MST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Desert Hills North, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 8:00 AM MST

Temperature: 61.0 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Preserve at Shadow Mountain, PHOENIX, AZ

Updated: 8:01 AM MST

Temperature: 59.5 °F Dew Point: 49 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
443 am MST sun Mar 1 2015 


Update...updated aviation and fire weather discussions... 


&& 


..prolonged wet winter weather event across the Desert Southwest 
Sunday through late Monday... 


&& 


Synopsis... 
low pressure will continue a slow approach of the forecast 
area...bringing moisture into the region along with increasing 
chances of showers today and Monday. Periods of heavy rain are 
possible at times especially Sunday night through Monday afternoon. 
Cooler temperatures will also accompany this storm with below normal 
readings expected Monday through middle week. A return to above normal 
temperatures is likely by late week. 


&& 


Discussion... 
early morning water vapor imagery depicts a slowly retrograding area 
of low pressure off the Southern California coast...with quite a bit 
of middle and high cloud cover developing downwind of the coastal 
mountains along the lower Colorado River valley. Finally after much 
anticipation...precipitation appears to be developing across the western 
portions of the forecast area as radar returns have increased 
substantially since 07z. Most the the precipitation that is reaching the 
ground is still confined to the higher terrain north of Phoenix but 
nonetheless it's a good sign that the atmosphere is responding to 
the subtropical moisture that's being advected into the area. 


Low pressure will continue its slow trek down the California coast 
today...eventually stalling out west of San Diego this afternoon. In 
the meantime it will continue tapping into the anomalously moist 
subtropical plume of moisture that is evident on water vapor imagery 
south of the Baja California spur. Rain shadowing downwind of the coastal 
mountains will preclude widespread precipitation from developing this 
morning...but eventually enough moisture will build up across 
southeast California and southwest Arizona that showers will become 
more widespread in nature. The inherited forecast already depicted 
this scenario and I only made minor changes to the forecast for the 
western forecast area. To the east however...it still looks like 
precipitation will be slow to develop around the Phoenix area...possibly 
holding off until Sunday evening/early Monday morning. Latest naefs 
guidance and the past 2-3 runs of the sref indicate the best chance 
of precipitation will come after 00z tonight and thus I trimmed probability of precipitation a bit 
for today. Only thinking we will see 20-30 percent chances around 
the metropolitan...certainly looking at higher chances in the foothill 
locations north/west/east of Phoenix but it looks more and more 
likely that the more widespread rain will be delayed a bit. 


The quasi-stationary low west of San Diego will get kicked through 
the area tomorrow by a rapidly approaching secondary trough moving 
through Nevada. This will bring more widespread precipitation through the 
entire forecast area Monday morning/Monday afternoon...with rapid 
clearing from west to east Monday night. While 500mb temperature 
forecasts have risen over the past few days...bufr soundings 
indicate enough instability potential coincident with the passage of 
the trough to warrant at least a slight chance of thunder. Once the 
trough axis moves into New Mexico Monday night...precipitation chances /and 
the potential for thunder/ will drop considerably. As for storm 
total precipitation values...ensemble mean is around 0.75 inches along and 
north of I-10 with closer to 1-1.5 inches in the orographically 
favored upslope areas across northern La Paz County to 
Wickenburg...Cave Creek...and the mountains of southern Gila County. 
Made some slight adjustments to storm total quantitative precipitation forecast based on the slower 
arrival of the heavier precipitation but still enough to keep the Flood 
Watch intact. 


The impacts associated with the secondary trough on Tuesday have 
been the source of much debate due to varying model solutions...and 
individual ensemble members are still all over the map this morning. 
No doubt there will be some lingering moisture in the area...the 
question is if there will be enough forcing with this secondary 
trough to trigger showers across the area. Felt it prudent to keep 
the chance of precipitation lingering across the eastern half of the 
forecast area on Tuesday although most of the showers should be to 
the North/East of Phoenix. 00z deterministic models have trended 
drier on Tuesday...will need to see if this trend continues and if 
the ensembles pick up on this drier solution. 


From middle-week Onward...ridging will take hold across the region and 
consequently temperatures will also climb back above normal by late 
week into the weekend. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa and ksdl... 


A slow approaching cold front will continue to draw low level 
moisture into the area from northern Baja California today. Any shower activity 
through this afternoon will mainly stay to the north and west of the 
Phoenix terminals...but a few light showers may affect ksdl. Ceilings 
for now should stay above 8kt feet through the afternoon hours...but 
if any showers do occur...ceilings would temporarily drop to around 5-6k 
feet. The cold front and area of rain will approach the Phoenix area 
sometime late this evening into tonight...but confidence in the 
exact time of arrival of the rain...lower ceilings...and any restricted 
visibilities is still somewhat low. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Middle level ceilings will gradually lower this morning and eventually drop 
to MVFR by around noon after some steady rain moves in. Confidence 
is fairly high that a band of light to moderate rain will affect 
southeast California and portions of southwest Arizona this 
afternoon into this evening. May see some MVFR visibilities at times 
due to the rain and potentially IFR ceilings briefly depending on how 
steady the rain ends up being. Rain should diminish after 09z 
tonight with gradually improving ceilings by 12z Monday morning. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Tuesday through Saturday... 
cool and still relatively moist conditions will be present on 
Tuesday with lingering rain chances across south-central Arizona. 
Weak high pressure and drying conditions will move in starting 
Wednesday. Temperatures will warm back toward normals by Thursday 
and then a few degrees above normal for Friday and Saturday. Winds 
will be relatively light through the period...but afternoon 
breeziness is expected on Wednesday through Friday. Minimum 
humidities will drop into the 20s on Wednesday and then into the 
teens each afternoon starting Thursday. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...Flood Watch from 5 PM today through 5 PM Monday azz021>024. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...leins 
aviation...Kuhlman 
fire weather...Kuhlman 


















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