Mesa, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 81°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: East 9 mph
  • Humidity: 62%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 67°
  • Pressure: 29.75 in. -
  • Heat Index: 83

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Next 12 Hours

5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
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79°
81°
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95°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 97 °
  • Low: 82 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 97 °
  • Low: 81 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Mesa, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 AM MST on September 17, 2014

Flash Flood Watch in effect from 11 am this morning to 6 PM MST Thursday...
  • Wednesday

    Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 95F with a heat index of 100F. Winds from the ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 81F with a heat index of 93F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain showers in the afternoon. High of 88F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 81F with a heat index of 90F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 95F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 81F with a heat index of 90F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 82F with a heat index of 90F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 97F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 81F with a heat index of 86F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 95F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 97F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 79F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 77F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 95F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 95F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flash Flood Watch  Statement as of 2:51 am MST on September 17, 2014


... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from 11 am MST this morning
through Thursday afternoon...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of east-central Arizona... south-central Arizona and west-
central Arizona... including the following areas... in east-central
Arizona... southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest foothills. In
south-central Arizona... greater Phoenix area... northwest Maricopa
County... northwest and north central Pinal County and southwest
Maricopa County. In west-central Arizona... west central deserts.

* From 11 am MST this morning through Thursday afternoon

* showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage this
morning... then continue into Thursday. Some storms will produce
very heavy rainfall... which will exacerbate already wet soils... and
lead to flooding of urban areas and normally dry washes.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that flooding of washes... creeks and other
drainage areas is possible within the watch area. If you are in the
watch area... you should watch the weather and be prepared to take
immediate action should heavy rain and flooding occur or a Flash
Flood Warning be issued.


Stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts by listening to weather radio
on the public service band. More detailed information is available
from the National Weather Service in Phoenix on the internet at

Weather.Gov/Phoenix

Stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts by listening to weather radio
on the public service band. More detailed information is available
from the National Weather Service in Phoenix on the internet at

Weather.Gov/Phoenix

Stay up-to-date on the latest forecasts by listening to weather radio
on the public service band. More detailed information is available
from the National Weather Service in Phoenix on the internet at

Weather.Gov/Phoenix






 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 4:00 am MST on September 17, 2014


... Phoenix and surrounding areas rainfall reports...

                                                      rainfall (in)
location 1 hr 24 hr
4th of July wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.12
Antelope Creek Yavapai County 0.00 0.08
Arizona Hunt Club Yavapai County 0.00 0.12
Asher Hills Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Bartlett Lake Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
baseline @ 547th Ave. Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Buckeye frs #1 Maricopa County 0.00 0.08
Bucks well Yavapai County 0.04 0.04
Bulldog Canyon Maricopa County 0.00 0.08
Camp Creek Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Carefree ranch Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Carriage Lane Park Mesa 0.00 0.04
casandro wash Wickenburg 0.00 0.04
Centennial Railroad Maricopa County 0.00 0.79
Chandler @ Alma school Chandler 0.04 0.04
Chandler Airport Chandler 0.00 0.04
constellation Road Wickenburg 0.00 0.04
copper wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Crossroads park Gilbert 0.04 0.04
Crown King Yavapai County 0.04 0.12
cruff wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.59
Delaney wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.20
Elliot @ Hawes Rd. Mesa 0.04 0.08
emf @ queencreek Rd. Maricopa County 0.04 0.04
Falcon Field Mesa 0.04 0.04
Fitch Park Mesa 0.00 0.04
flying E wash Wickenburg 0.00 0.04
Fountain Hills fd Fountain Hills 0.00 0.04
Four Mile wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.28
fraesfield mtn. Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Freestone basin Gilbert 0.04 0.04
g&f Woolsey Peak Maricopa County 0.00 0.83
Gila @ Maricopa Rd Gila River ic 0.00 0.04
Gila Bend landfill Maricopa County 0.00 0.35
Gila Bend Mountains Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Gila r. @ 116th Ave. Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Gillespie dam Maricopa County 0.00 0.91
Granite reef Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Granite reef wash Scottsdale 0.00 0.12
Guadalupe channel Mesa 0.04 0.08
Hassayampa landfill Maricopa County 0.00 0.43
hassy r. @ Box Canyon Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
hassy r. @ I-10 Maricopa County 0.00 0.12
Horner mtn. Ranch Yavapai County 0.00 0.12
Horseshoe Lake Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Horseshoe ranch Yavapai County 0.00 0.08
Horsethief Basin Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
I-10 @ 355th Ave. Maricopa County 0.00 0.16
ibw @ mckellips Rd. Scottsdale 0.00 0.08
Kleinman Park Mesa 0.00 0.04
McDowell @ Hawes Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
McDowell @ Meridian Pinal County 0.00 0.04
McDowell mtn. Road Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
mid-Martinez creek Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
Minnehaha Yavapai County 0.08 0.08
Mountain View Park Mesa 0.00 0.04
Mt. Oatman Maricopa County 0.00 0.20
Mt. Ord Gila County 0.04 0.31
New River Mesa Maricopa County 0.00 0.31
Papago Park Phoenix 0.00 0.04
powerline Floodway Mesa 0.00 0.04
price drain @ 202 Mesa 0.00 0.04
Queen CR @ Rittenhouse Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Rackensack Canyon Maricopa County 0.00 0.08
Rawhide wash Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Reata Pass dam Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Reata Pass wash Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Saguaro Lake Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
salt r. @ Priest Dr. Tempe 0.00 0.04
Salt River landfill Salt River ic 0.00 0.04
Sand Tank @ I-8 Gila Bend 0.00 0.04
Sand Tank wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.20
sauceda wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Seven Springs Yavapai County 0.00 0.08
Seven Springs wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.12
sols tank Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
sols wash @ sr 71 Yavapai County 0.04 0.04
sols wash nr Matthie Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
spookhill Brown Mesa 0.00 0.04
spookhill frs Mesa 0.00 0.04
spookhill mckellips Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Stagecoach Wash Scottsdale 0.00 0.04
Stanton Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
Stoneridge dam Fountain Hills 0.00 0.04
Sun Valley @ northern Buckeye 0.00 0.04
Sunset Point Yavapai County 0.00 0.04
tat momolikot dam Pinal County 0.04 0.04
Thunder Mountain Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
towers mtn. Yavapai County 0.04 0.04
Tuthill @ ray Rd. Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
upper Cline creek Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
upper Waterman wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.28
usery mtn. Park Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
usery park ws Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
vekol wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
vulture mine Road Maricopa County 0.00 0.04
Webb Mountain Maricopa County 0.00 0.71
Wilhoit Yavapai County 0.00 0.43
Winters wash Maricopa County 0.00 0.47
Wolverine Pass Maricopa County 0.00 0.04

These rainfall amounts are preliminary and are not official.
Automated gauge data are from the Maricopa County flood
control district. Stations with no recorded precipitation
are not shown.






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: W 1st St.@ Date St., Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 81.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: East at 9.2 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Beeline, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: ENE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Main and Dobson, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 78.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: N Stapley Dr/8th St, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:28 AM MST

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: NNE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 76.9 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Mesa, AZ, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: D'Amore Engineering, Tempe, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Southern Manor, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:20 AM MST

Temperature: 76.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Cooper Ranch, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: CVE III, Tempe, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: 74th Street and McDowell Road, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: ENE at 3.6 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: McKellips & Val Vista, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 5:23 AM MDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: NNE at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Val vista & Chandler Blvd, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 75.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Tempe, AZ

Updated: 4:28 AM MST

Temperature: 78.4 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: NNE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Down Stream Dam, Tempe, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM PDT

Temperature: 77.7 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Trancentral, Chandler, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 76.9 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Northeast Mesa, Mesa, AZ

Updated: 4:22 AM MST

Temperature: 75.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Mirage, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 255% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 20.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Madera Parc Estates, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 4:30 AM MST

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: ENE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: DDMET Tempe, AZ, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 4:00 AM MST

Temperature: 80 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Central Scottsdale, AZ, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 5:30 AM MDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Scottsdale - Old Town, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 4:18 AM MST

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: ENE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest GLBERT AZ US UPR, Gilbert, AZ

Updated: 1:05 AM MST

Temperature: 84 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
430 am MST Wednesday Sep 17 2014 


Update...updated aviation and fire weather discussions... 


&& 


Synopsis... 
Tropical Storm Odile...which is now moving over the northern waters 
of the Gulf of California...is still expected to move northeastward 
into...and across Southeast Arizona late tonight and on Thursday. 
There is a high likelihood of heavy rain...and flooding across 
southeast and east-central Arizona as the remains of Odile move 
across the region. After the remnants of Odile moves out of the 
region sometime Thursday...some moisture...along with a chance of 
showers and thunderstorms will linger into the weekend. Drier air 
will gradually return by late in the weekend into early next week. 


&& 


Discussion... 
today through Thursday... 
model consensus continues to improve as far as the forecast for 
Tropical Storm Odile...which is now located about 85 Michigan south of 
Puerto Penasco...and the timing...extent...and amount of rainfall 
that it will produce as at moves northeastward across Southeast Arizona 
later today and on Thursday. The large-scale global model suites 
(euro/gfs) and the hi-res models are now in good agreement...taking 
the remains of Odile northeastward across Arizona tonight and early Thursday. 
The Euro/GFS models track the center of Odile/S low-level 
circulation right over the Tucson metropolitan area around midnight 
tonight...then into the White Mountains by midday on Thursday. The 
wrf4km hi-res model...and the official NHC forecast...on the other 
hand...both move the center of Odile/S circulation into 
south-central Pinal County by early Thursday morning...then into the 
White Mountains on Thursday afternoon. 


Either solution should keep the heaviest rainfall...in the 3-6 inch 
range...to the south of our County Warning Area...over Southeast Arizona...under deep upslope 
southerly flow...with low-level downslope easterly to northeasterly 
flow to the north of the circulation center keeping rainfall amounts 
down across the Phoenix area...with even less rainfall expected 
across SW Arizona and southeast California. Still...some areas across northwest Pinal 
County and southern Gila County could see rainfall amounts in the 
1.50-3.00 inch range...with the greater Phoenix area seeing 
storm-total rainfalls in the 0.75-1.00 inch range...which could 
still result in localized flooding. The Flash Flood Watch remains in 
effect starting late this morning...lasting through midday Thursday. 


Across SW Arizona and southeast California...although overall rainfall amounts will 
likely be below...or well below 0.75 inch...localized heavier 
showers could produce heavier amounts this afternoon...where breaks 
in the cloud cover could allow heavier shower/ts development. By 
late Thursday afternoon...as the remains of Odile move off to the 
east...and an approaching upper trough begins to shift the flow aloft 
to a westerly one...chances for rainfall are expected to begin to 
diminish from west to east...with this drying trend continuing into 
Thursday night. 


Friday through Tuesday... 
although westerly flow aloft will push somewhat drier air eastward 
into the region from Friday Onward into the upcoming weekend...with 
precipitable waters  across the phx area running in the 1.40-1.60 inch 
range...difluence ahead of an upper trough that will be approaching 
from the west is expected to keep at least low-end chances for 
showers/ts going across south-central and SW Arizona through this 
weekend...with the best chances for measurable rainfall across the 
higher terrain of southern Gila County. At this point...it appears 
that Saturday afternoon/evening will be the most active day...as a 
weak shortwave rotates northward across the region ahead of the main 
upper trough. As far as the impact from Tropical Storm Polo is 
concerned...the latest NHC forecast tracks it well to the south and 
west of Cabo San Lucas as high pressure ridging aloft builds 
westward to the north of the storm center...keeping its impacts well 
to our south and west. 


Further drying is expected early next week as the aforementioned 
upper low lifts out to our north and east and high pressure aloft 
builds in from the west...which should pretty much end the threat 
for convective activity over our County Warning Area...with the exception of some 
isolated storms over the easternmost portion of south Gila County. 


&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl... 
showers are moving toward the Phoenix area but have really gotten 
sheared out this morning. Nonetheless I still think a few hours of 
light rain is warranted in the Phoenix tafs along with ceilings around 
10kft. Could be lower /around 5kft/ for a brief time within the 
heaviest showers based on observation at kcgz but this has been the 
exception not the rule so far this morning. Meanwhile the models are 
trying to indicate a middle morning break before additional convection 
this afternoon. Timing and placement of storms later today is very 
difficult to pin down and confidence much beyond 19z is limited. 
Confidence that storms will form is high but where/when is up for 
debate. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 
looking like both southeast California sites are already starting to dry out once 
and for all. Both locations have been dry since midnight and it\s 
entirely conceivable that they are done with the rain for this 
event. I retained a few hours of cloud cover through middle afternoon 
in the event storms manage to form in Arizona and drift into southeast California...but 
the bigger impacts will be displaced well into Arizona. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Friday through Tuesday... 
moisture will remain elevated through Saturday before drier air 
moves in from the west this weekend. This will re-organize storm 
chances to the mountains east of Phoenix as opposed to the deserts. 
Storm chances will diminish further through the weekend into next 
week. Even with this drier air...humidities will only drop into the 
20-30 percent range with good overnight recoveries expected. Winds 
to remain mainly on the light side...except around thunderstorms. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...Flash Flood Watch from this morning through Thursday 
afternoon azz021>024-027-028. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...percha 
aviation...leins 
fire weather...leins 



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