Cave Creek, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 89°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 35%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 58°
  • Pressure: 29.75 in. +
  • Heat Index: 88

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Next 12 Hours

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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 102 °
  • Low: 78 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 101 °
  • Low: 80 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 104 °
  • Low: 80 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 103 °
  • Low: 79 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 102 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Cave Creek, Arizona

Updated: 11:00 PM MST on January 04, 2015

  • Sunday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 99F. Winds WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 78F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 101F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low near 80F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 104F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear skies. Low around 80F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 103F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low 79F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mainly sunny. High 102F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear. Low 76F. S winds at 10 to 20 mph, decreasing to less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 101F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 78F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, with lots of sunshine late. High 101F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Mainly clear. Low 79F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Sunny. High 104F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear skies. Low 81F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Sunshine. High 109F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 82F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High around 110F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low 82F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: East Cave Creek Road, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Sonoran Villas, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 11:40 PM MST

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: ESE at 2.9 mph Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Black Mountain East Face, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 12:34 AM MST

Temperature: 82.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Desert View, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 86.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 87 °F Graphs

Location: cave creek, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:31 AM MST

Temperature: 82.2 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Cactus Shadows HS, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 84.2 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: NE at 2.9 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Pinnacle Peak, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 83.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Lonesome Trl, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 81.4 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: ENE at 1.6 mph Pressure: 27.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: N. of Sky Ranch Airpark, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 82.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Carefree Four, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 82.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Cottonwood Canyon, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: NNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Cave Creek, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 85.2 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Bellasera, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:31 AM PDT

Temperature: 83.1 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Sincuidados, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:44 AM MST

Temperature: 81.6 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: ESE at 1.4 mph Pressure: 27.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: 64th St and Dynamite, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:40 AM MST

Temperature: 85.0 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: East at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Tatum Ranch, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 83.7 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Hills Estates, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 84.2 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:41 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Circle Mtn & 16th Street, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:37 AM MST

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: NE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Hills, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:33 AM MST

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: NNE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:42 AM MST

Temperature: 84.7 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Mountain, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 80.4 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Saguaro Estates, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:42 AM MST

Temperature: 85.4 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:14 AM MST

Temperature: 87 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 88 °F Graphs

Location: North 16th Street, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Treviso West, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:32 AM MST

Temperature: 79.2 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: NE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: North Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:40 AM MST

Temperature: 86.5 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: NE Phoenix (Tatum Highlands), NE Phoenix (Tatum Highlands), AZ

Updated: 12:43 AM MST

Temperature: 85.8 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 87 °F Graphs

Location: Anthem Ironwood, Anthem, AZ

Updated: 12:41 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: North Olympic Fields Court, New River, AZ

Updated: 12:41 AM MST

Temperature: 88.2 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 89 °F Graphs

Location: Pinnacle Reserve, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 86.3 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: North 23rd Drive, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 87.4 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 89 °F Graphs

Location: Talus @ Troon North, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:44 AM MST

Temperature: 81.8 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:14 AM MST

Temperature: 88 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 86 °F Graphs

Location: Aviano at Desert Ridge, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 82.5 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Estancia, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 84.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Troon North, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 12:45 AM MST

Temperature: 82.4 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 12:18 AM MST

Temperature: 88 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: NE at 1 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 87 °F Graphs

Location: Cochise Ridge Desert Mountain, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 10:35 PM MST

Temperature: 84.2 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: SW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
925 PM MST Sat Jul 4 2015 


Synopsis... 
relatively high monsoon humidity and unsettled southerly flow aloft 
will continue the chance of showers and thunderstorms over portions 
of southwest and south central Arizona this afternoon and evening. 
The threat for showers on Sunday will shift into central and eastern 
Arizona...with a more drier and stable airmass next week. 


&& 


Discussion... upper level low pressure system taking shape along 
the California coast has started to push the upper high futher to 
the east...and has set up a south/southwest steering flow across 
much of Arizona and southeast California. Drier air has been 
spreading into our western deserts...and infrared imagery at 8 PM showed 
generally clear skies west of Maricopa County. Surface dewpoints over 
the central deserts were a bit on the low side and were running 
mostly in the middle 50s this evening. Convection during the afternoon 
adn evening across south central Arizona...and Southeast Arizona...has 
been very minimal and the cloud field as seen in infrared imagery looked 
rather warm topped and stable. A look at the Phoenix and Tucson 
soundings shed some light on this as they both showed a prominent 
upper cap and very Low Cape values. 


Radar at 8 PM showed just a few struggling showers mainly south of 
the greater Phoenix area and no thunderstorms were poised to move 
into the central deserts or southern Gila County. For the rest of 
tonight...both the NAM and the GFS suggest there may be a weak 
wave/disturbance embedded in the southerly flow aloft that will move 
north and into south central Arizona after midnight. This feature is hard 
to detect on the plot or vapor imagery so confidence in it is not 
high. Still...given the signifant convection seen southeast of 
Tucson...over northwestern Mexico...and the tendency for late night 
convection over the deserts over the past week...decided to keep 
probability of precipitation at or above 20 percent over the central deserts for the rest of 
tonight. We may well see thickening of the middle level cloud field 
after midnight with embedded showers...and possibly a 
thunderstorm...although given the stable character of the airmass 
per the evening soundings...any storm that develops will likely be 
weak and low topped. Forecasts have been updated to reflect this 
thinking and look to be in good shape. 


Previous discussion... 


Tonight and Sunday...looking at water vapor 
satellite the upper level high continues to reposition...the 
300/250mb center has elongated with the axis positioned across 
western New Mexico this afternoon. Models continue to indicate that 
the center will finally consolidate and take up residence somewhere 
near El Paso by Sunday morning. As the flow has 
transitioned...afternoon satellite imagery and regional radar mosaic 
reveal showers and thunderstorms that have blossomed in the White 
Mountains in eastern Arizona...and along portions the rim country in 
northern Arizona. A deformation zone over northeast Arizona currently supports 
the storm development in that area. Later this evening... another 
deformation zone will open up across Southeast Arizona for increased 
storm activity...so the best threat of afternoon/evening showers and 
thunderstorms will be over the southeast quarter of the 
state...including eastern portions of Gila County/zone 24. 


The one feature that has the potential to extend the shower and 
thunderstorm threat further north and west into Maricopa/Pinal 
counties this evening...is the mesoscale convective vortex that has drifted northward out of 
Sonora Mexico and is now centered near Nogales. Some thunderstorms 
have already fired up along the northern periphery if the mesoscale convective vortex...but 
these storms are struggling to move northward in to the drier more 
subsident environment now in place over the central deserts. Surface 
dew points across south-central Arizona have dropped off a bit this 
afternoon...currently in the low to middle 50s at many sites...but 
there is still plenty of middle level moisture that remains that can 
aid convection later on this evening. 


Models still hold onto a middle-level disturbance that moves northward 
in the anticyclonic flow later this evening...so will continue to 
hold onto the chance probability of precipitation for south-central Arizona...mainly 
Maricopa County eastward. There will be little to no activity 
westward toward the Colorado River and into southeast California 
based on the drier southwesterly/cyclonic flow that is now over our 
western zones...all due to the upper level low near 35n 130w in 
the eastern Pacific. 


The flow aloft on Sunday is forecast to become more southwesterly 
and laminar a day earlier than previous model runs suggested... 
resulting in a low grade slight chance of shower forecast in south 
central Arizona...with slightly higher precipitation probabilities in the 
mountains of southern Gila County. 


Monday through Friday...for the most part upper level flow becomes 
more west south-westerly aloft...with the deepest monsoon moisture 
slowly shifting into eastern Arizona. This pattern is quasi- 
stable...however some uncertainty will exist around midweek...namely 
the eastern Pacific trough is forecast to shift inland creating broad 
difluent flow aloft over the southwestern states and maybe some 
potential for renewed storminess Wednesday. 


Warmer air aloft will shift into Arizona from the southwest direction 
Thursday and Friday and likely stabilize the airmass again. 




Saturday and Sunday...as the West Coast trough weakens...much stronger 
southeasterly middle/upper level winds from Mexico are forecast shift 
back into the southeast quarter of Arizona...increasing monsoon moisture 
along with a few hard to time inverted troughs. In other words...an 
increasing threat for showers and thunderstorms over Southeast 
Arizona...including our portions of south central Arizona from Phoenix 
eastward. 


$$ 


Aviation... 


South-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...and ksdl... 


Steering flow has become south-southwest...which is not favorable 
for moving storms into the central deserts...and a look at the 
latest evening soundings showed rather stable conditions. Thus the 
threat of thunder for the rest of tonight is very low. However 
guidance suggests that we may see a weak disturbance move north and 
into the deserts after midnight...continuing into Sunday morning 
which may bring thicker and lower clouds along with embedded 
showers. Thus will drop mention of thunderstorms in the vicinity but replace with vcsh and 
keep this in the area tafs through at least 11z...with potential for 
lingering showers to extend into the morning hours. Ceilings should stay 
generally at or above 8k feet overnight and into the day Sunday. 


Winds to back around to the southeast after midnight with speeds 
mostly below 10kt...then return to the south/southwest after 18z 
Sunday. 


Southeast California and southwest Arizona including kipl and kblh... 


Little in terms of aviation impacts expected next 24 hours as flow 
aloft has become a drier southwesterly direction. Skies to be mostly 
clear through Sunday afternoon at least with only a few middle/hi 
clouds to move through at times. Winds to favor the south at 
kblh...locally gusty during the afternoon on Sunday. Winds should 
favor the southeast most of the taf period at kipl but may switch 
briefly to the southwest through 09z or so tonight. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Tuesday through Saturday... 
atmospheric flow will become more westerly/southwesterly next 
week...allowing deep moisture and thunderstorm chances to be 
displaced well to the east of Phoenix over higher terrain locations. 
Even the typically active regions in southern Gila County may lack 
thunderstorm development and coverage for much of the week. 
Afternoon humidity level will retreat back into a 10-15 percent 
range across lower elevations with fair to good overnight recovery. 
Higher humidity values will be experienced in mountain locations. 
Generally light and diurnally driven winds speeds and directions 
will predominate all week...with somewhat more afternoon upslope 
gustiness than is typical during monsoon season. 


&& 


Spotter information statement... 
spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather conditions 
according to Standard operating procedures. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arizona...none. 
California...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...cumulonimbus 
previous discussion...Meyers/vasquez 
aviation...cumulonimbus 
fire weather...MO 



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