Cave Creek, Arizona Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 87°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NE 8 mph
  • Humidity: 36%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 57°
  • Pressure: 29.75 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 86

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Next 12 Hours

2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
84°
79°
82°
93°
99°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 100 °
  • Low: 79 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 91 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Cave Creek, Arizona

Updated: 2:00 AM MST on September 15, 2014

  • Monday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 100F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 79F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 95F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 75F. Winds from the East at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 90F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 75F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 91F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 75F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 93F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Sonoran Villas, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: East at 4.9 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Black Mountain East Face, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 2:21 AM MST

Temperature: 81.7 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: West at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Cactus Shadows HS, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 83.7 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: NE at 4.9 mph Pressure: 27.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: N. of Sky Ranch Airpark, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 2:25 AM MST

Temperature: 81.8 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: ENE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Carefree Four, Carefree, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 81.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: ENE at 10.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Cottonwood Canyon, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 83.3 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: SSE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Carefree(2600 ft. s/w Continental Mt.), Carefree, AZ

Updated: 2:18 AM MST

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: NE at 11.0 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Cave Creek, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:00 AM MST

Temperature: 84.4 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: East at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Bellasera, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:13 AM PDT

Temperature: 80.0 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: East at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Sincuidados, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 78.5 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 27.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: 64th St and Dynamite, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:19 AM MST

Temperature: 84.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: NE at 8.3 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Tatum Ranch, Cave Creek, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 83.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Saguaro Estates, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:23 AM MST

Temperature: 80.9 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: West at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.31 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Treviso West, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:17 AM MST

Temperature: 78.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: NE at 5.1 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: NE Phoenix (Tatum Highlands), NE Phoenix (Tatum Highlands), AZ

Updated: 2:20 AM MST

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: NNE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Anthem Ironwood, Anthem, AZ

Updated: 2:19 AM MST

Temperature: 86.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Pinnacle Reserve, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 85.5 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Talus @ Troon North, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 80.8 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: ENE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.37 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Peak, Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:14 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: East at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Peak, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:20 AM MST

Temperature: 83.5 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: WSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Desert Ridge, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:25 AM MST

Temperature: 83.5 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at 2.6 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Norterra, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Grayhawk, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 83.8 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Pima & Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 82.8 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Ben Avery Shooting Facility, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:25 AM MST

Temperature: 85.3 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: SE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Outlets at Anthem, Anthem, AZ

Updated: 2:21 AM MST

Temperature: 81.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: NE at 5.8 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Scottsdale AZ US, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:00 AM MST

Temperature: 80 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SW at 4 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Lost Canyon, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:18 AM MST

Temperature: 85.8 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: NE at 12.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 85 °F Graphs

Location: Arroyo Rojo, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:25 AM MST

Temperature: 84.1 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: NE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:25 AM MST

Temperature: 84.0 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Parque Village, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:24 AM MST

Temperature: 84.5 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: ENE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Davis - PSMHP, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:17 AM MST

Temperature: 84.4 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 84 °F Graphs

Location: Arroyo Grande, Phoenix, AZ

Updated: 2:26 AM MST

Temperature: 82.4 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at 5.8 mph Pressure: 27.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Cochise Ridge Desert Mountain, Scottsdale, AZ

Updated: 2:19 AM MST

Temperature: 79.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: WSW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Phoenix Arizona 
821 PM MST sun Sep 14 2014 


Synopsis... 
a slight chance thunderstorms is anticipated once again Monday 
mainly across the higher terrain east of Phoenix. Deeper tropical 
moisture moves in Tuesday for a significant increase in storm 
chances the rest of the week. The main impact from storms this week 
will be localized heavy rain and potential for flooding. 


&& 


Discussion... 
not much change over the past 24 hours with upper level ridging and 
weak flow aloft in place. The 00z Phoenix sounding showed modest 
moisture throughout the column with a precipitable water of 1.26 and 
virtually no temperature chances from yesterday. Storm activity 
today for the most part stayed out of our area with only a few 
showers and thunderstorms across jtnp. Clearing skies this evening 
will again provide for clear skies overnight...but temperatures will 
remain a bit warmer than normal. Have removed all probability of precipitation for the rest 
of the evening and made minor adjustments to sky cover to adjust for 
the mainly clear skies. 


&& 


Previous discussion... 
storm activity remains outside of our forecast area as of early this 
afternoon though some towering cumulus was noted over Joshua Tree 
National Park. Southeast Arizona was quiet as well. An area from 
Pinetop to Kingman and north had more noticeable storm activity. 
Convective clouds had already developed over the higher mountains of 
San Diego County and western Riverside County. Held on to slight 
chances over higher terrain areas as nearby convection is indicative 
of non-zero storm potential. A modest overall increase in daytime 
storm activity is anticipated Monday. 


Latest NHC forecast for Hurricane Odile keeps it tracking 
northwestward and the eye is forecast to pass just west of Cabo San 
Lucas late tonight. The northwest track keeps the eye close to the 
western coast of the Baja California peninsula. Odile is forecast to weaken 
after tonight...weakening down to a tropical storm by the time the 
eye reaches the Baja California spur during the day Wednesday. It is then 
forecast to slow down and weaken to a depression not far from the 
Baja California spur on Thursday. The models continue to show a Gulf surge 
overspreading our forecast area late Monday night and 
Tuesday...weakening in the process. Models also continue to show 
short waves moving through Arizona and southeast California as early 
as Monday night. This is when probability of precipitation take an upward trend. 
However...still a lot of variation amongst the models in the timing 
and placement of precipitation this week. Also still a bit surprising to 
see modest model run total precipitation accumulation but Tuesday through 
Thursday looks to be main window of opportunity. High degree of 
uncertainty remains on the specifics of just how much rain...exactly 
when...and exactly where...and thus the associated flooding 
potential. But people should be prepared for at least localized 
flooding this week...likely at a number of locations not just one or 
two isolated spots. 


The 12z ecwmf tracks Odile a bit further east than before. Another 
key difference is that it advertises the upper portions of the 
remains of Odile to be more of a distinct short wave than before. 
Thus it indicates a second window Friday into Saturday. 12z GFS 
hints at this as well...due to troughing from the westerlies 
deepening and moving into the Desert Southwest...but focuses on vef 
County Warning Area instead of psr and twc. To acknowledge this...slowed the 
downtrend of probability of precipitation. 


As for temperatures...anticipate similar readings Monday as 
today...flirting with excessive heat criteria for southeast 
California and southwest Arizona. Temperatures go down Tuesday but humidity 
GOES up. Anticipate additional cooling Wednesday due to more 
cloudiness and greater potential for precipitation. Anticipate slow warming 
over next weekend. 




&& 


Aviation... 
south-central Arizona including kphx...kiwa...ksdl...and southeast 
California and southwest Arizona...including kipl and kblh... 


Somewhat variable winds this evening will transition to a dominant 
easterly flow by 06z across the Phoenix area and remain at 10kts or 
less through the overnight. Expect to see some high based few to 
scattered cumulus Monday afternoon...but any shower and thunderstorm 
activity will remain across the higher terrain areas north and east 
of Phoenix. 


Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
Wednesday through Sunday... 
moisture will steadily increase across the area during the week with 
a noteworthy increase in humidities taking place on Wednesday. 
Showers will increase in coverage Wednesday night through Friday 
with some areas potentially looking at periods of heavy rainfall. As 
such...afternoon humidities will remain elevated with good to 
excellent recoveries expected. Winds should be light during the week 
outside of thunderstorm induced outflows. 


&& 


Psr watches/warnings/advisories... 


Arizona...none. 


California...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Visit US on facebook...twitter...and at weather.Gov/Phoenix 


Discussion...Kuhlman 
previous discussion...aj 
aviation...Kuhlman 
fire weather...Nolte/leins 



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