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fxus62 ktae 141237 
afdtae 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida 
845 am EDT sun Mar 14 2010 


Discussion...a rather large band of low but thick MVFR level clouds 
is rotating through the County Warning Area this morning...with ceiling bases 
generally between 5 and 6 kft. Although the mostly cloudy skies are 
clearing rapidly behind this band...this morning's tae sounding is 
showing a freezing level even colder than yesterday (at just below 
5700 ft!!). This will likely give US a nearly replicated day today 
as we had on Saturday...with a rapidly developing fair weather cumulus field 
once the warming of the middle March sun gets an opportunity to go to 
work. Over the coastal waters... despite the very brief and 
unexpected plummeting of the local winds...expect them to ramp up 
very quickly back up to Small Craft Advisory levels withing the next few hours so 
will not make any major changes unless some new evidence comes along 
that would seriously hamper this train of thought. (It also needs to 
be noticed that seas are still at Small Craft Advisory levels and probably will not 
have the time to drop below.) Also...our projected high temperatures look 
good once again... with middle 60s across the north and upper 60s to 
around 70 to the south. 


&& 


Aviation...sct-bkn ceilings from 5-7 kft will persist through the day. 
Winds will pick up again by middle to late morning...with sustained 
west to northwest winds of 10 to 15 kts gusting up to 25 kts. 


&& 


Tae watches/warnings/advisories... 


Alabama...none. 


Georgia...none. 


Florida...high surf advisory through 00z Monday for the west facing beaches 
of Bay and Gulf counties. 


Red flag warning 18-23z today for the following zones: 
Calhoun...Gadsden...Holmes...inland Walton...Jackson... 
Jefferson...Leon...Liberty...Madison...Washington. 


GM...Small Craft Advisory until 03z Monday nearshore zones. 


Small Craft Advisory until 09z Monday offshore zones. 


&& 


$$ 


Gould/Gibbs